Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 6
- Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (346/434) | 68% (211/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (346/434) | 68% (211/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (26/58) | 50% (37/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (86/144) | 47% (34/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.14 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Hoffmann M. ⚽, Kovacevic D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Leitner A. 🟨,
- 63', Azkune E. ↓, Sane S. ↑,
- 63', Bajlicz N. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
- 71', Kainz T. 🟨,
- 76', Kovacevic D. ↓, Fillafer M. ↑,
- 76', Kainz T. ↓, Golles J. ↑,
- 77', Havel E. 🟨,
- 82', Havel E. ↓, Fridrikas L. ↑,
- 83', Sollbauer M. ↓, Kirnbauer D. ↑,
- 83', Mayer J. ↓, Wernitznig C. ↑,
- 87', Fillafer M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Fridrikas L. ⚽, Hennig M. (A),
Chances of winning
Ried
16.2% | Draw
32.5% | Hartberg
51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ried's form might have worsened.Hartberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hartberg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+32.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ried, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (-24.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hartberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ried - Hartberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.77 ↑
(1.95) |
3.85 ↑
(3.69) |
2.37 ↓
(3.36) |
-20.4%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ried - Hartberg?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Hartberg will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartberg: 63.2% – 91%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hartberg will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Hartberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ried has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Ried: Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hartberg: Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Hartberg: Diarra Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ried won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ried won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Hartberg?
Ried has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Ried?
Hartberg has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ried - Hartberg were as follows:
27.05.2023
Hartberg
-
Ried
2:0
08.04.2023
Ried
-
Hartberg
1:3
12.02.2023
Ried
-
Hartberg
0:1
27.08.2022
Hartberg
-
Ried
2:0
Latest results of Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SK Rapid | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Altach | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Tirol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Ried | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Austria Vienna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | BW Linz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | LASK | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 3 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:15 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
