Result
2:0
22/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 14
- Referee: Barmaksiz S. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (206/281) | 82% (337/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (206/281) | 82% (337/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 57% (25/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 66% (95/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.99 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Havenaar N. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Havel E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 2 - 0, Fridrikas L. ⚽, Havel E. (A),
- 61', Heil J. 🟨,
- 61', Pomer P. 🟨,
- 67', Fridrikas L. 🟨,
- 72', Fridrikas L. ↓, Mijic P. ↑,
- 74', Mayer J. ↓, Sane S. ↑,
- 74', Bajlicz N. ↓, Scherzer J. ↑,
- 84', Sane S. 🟨,
- 86', Pomer P. ↓, Wernitznig C. ↑,
- 89', Heil J. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Bajic A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Havel E. ↓, Prokop D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hartberg 32% | Draw 28.4% | Ried 39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Hartberg - Ried Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.91 ↑ (2.58) |
3.38 ↓ (3.43) |
2.45 ↓ (2.59) |
4.9% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hartberg - Ried?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Hartberg will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Ried will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ried: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ried (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 5.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Hartberg has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Hartberg: Drew J.
(Back Injury)
Hoffmann M.
(Red Card)
Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ried: Kiedl P.
(Knee Injury)
Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
Stoger D.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Ried?
Hartberg has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Hartberg?
Ried has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartberg - Ried were as follows:
14.09.2025
Ried
-
Hartberg
0:2
27.05.2023
Hartberg
-
Ried
2:0
08.04.2023
Ried
-
Hartberg
1:3
12.02.2023
Ried
-
Hartberg
0:1
27.08.2022
Hartberg
-
Ried
2:0
Latest results of Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 34:20 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 | LASK | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 24:19 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | SK Rapid | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 7 | Austria Vienna | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 | Ried | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 | Altach | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
| 10 | Tirol | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16:27 | -11 | 15 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )