Result
2:1
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | DAZN |
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 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
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 Usa | DAZN USA |
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Storey L. ⚽, Ward K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Storey L. 🟥,
- 53', Butterfield J. ↓, Melbourne M. ↑,
- 57', Campbell A. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
- 57', Hunter J. ↓, Daly M. ↑,
- 60', Newton T. ↓, Bowen S. ↑,
- 60', Amantchi L. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
- 74', Parkes T. ↓, Brown P. ↑,
- 77', Chadwick B. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
- 78', Miley J. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Reid A. ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 1, Daly M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hartlepool United
61.8% | Draw
21.2% | Gateshead
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Hartlepool United - Gateshead Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.39) |
4.4 ↓
(4.65) |
5.32 ↓
(7.06) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Gateshead?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartlepool: 71.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Hartlepool (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartlepool (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 3.
- Recent performances by Hartlepool have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gateshead is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Hartlepool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hartlepool is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Gateshead?
Hartlepool United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gateshead won against Hartlepool United?
Gateshead has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Gateshead were as follows:
23.09.2025
Gateshead
-
Hartlepool United
0:1
21.04.2025
Hartlepool United
-
Gateshead
3:2
26.12.2024
Gateshead
-
Hartlepool United
4:3
26.03.2024
Gateshead
-
Hartlepool United
7:1
12.08.2023
Hartlepool United
-
Gateshead
2:1
Latest results of Hartlepool United
Latest results of Gateshead
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rochdale (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Scunthorpe (5) | Southend (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Carlisle (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Boreham Wood (4) | Forest Green (7) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rochdale (2) | Scunthorpe (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Carlisle (3) | Boreham Wood (4) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Rochdale (2) | Boreham Wood (4) | |
