Haruka Kaji vs Xin Gao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jinan Challenger Women Haruka Kaji - Xin Gao
Result
0:2
15/10/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
71%68%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (25/44)64% (32/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (6/18)57% (13/23)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
36% (18/50)43% (19/44)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (10/23)67% (12/18)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
50% (31/62)62% (45/73)
Return Points Won
38% (28/73)50% (31/62)
Total Points Won
44% (59/135)56% (76/135)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Haruka Kaji
29.3%
Xin Gao
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 67.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haruka Kaji's form might have worsened.
  • Xin Gao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xin Gao's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xin Gao than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Haruka Kaji - Xin Gao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (2.71)

    1.33
    (1.43)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kaji is ranked WTA: 262. Gao is ranked WTA: 191.
    • In recent matches, Kaji has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gao is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Kaji may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gao might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Gao will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kaji won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Haruka Kaji - Xin Gao were as follows:
    04.09.2024 Haruka Kaji - Xin Gao 0:2
    Latest results of Haruka Kaji
    Latest results of Xin Gao
    23.09.2025 Riya Bhatia - Xin Gao 2:1
    03.09.2025 Xin Gao - Alina Charaeva Charaeva A. walkover
    02.09.2025 Xin Gao - Chloe Paquet 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Tararudee L.2 : 0
    2Prozorova T.Reyngold E. (Q)2 : 0
    3Li X.Hartono A.0 : 2
    4Shi H.Sun L. (6)1 : 2
    5Tjen J. (3)Wang Y.2 : 1
    6Iatcenko P.Pridankina E.2 : 1
    7Kaji H.Ren Y.2 : 1
    8Gao X.Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7)2 : 0
    9Osuigwe W. (8)Paquet C.2 : 0
    10Nugroho P. M. (Q)Bai Z.2 : 1
    11Rodionova Ar.Andreeva E.2 : 0
    12Tian F. (Q)Erjavec V. (4)0 : 2
    13Jimenez Kasintseva V. (5)Ma Y.1 : 2
    14Korneeva A.You X.2 : 1
    15Wei S.Zavatska K. (Q)2 : 0
    16Astakhova D.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Prozorova T.2 : 0
    2Hartono A.Sun L. (6)0 : 2
    3Tjen J. (3)Iatcenko P.2 : 0
    4Kaji H.Gao X.0 : 2
    5Osuigwe W. (8)Nugroho P. M.1 : 2
    6Rodionova Ar.Erjavec V. (4)2 : 1
    7Ma Y.Korneeva A.2 : 0
    8Wei S.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Sun L. (6)0 : 2
    2Tjen J. (3)Gao X.2 : 0
    3Nugroho P. M.Rodionova Ar.2 : 1
    4Ma Y.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sun L. (6)Tjen J. (3)1 : 2
    2Nugroho P. M.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Tjen J. (3)Bondar A. (2)2 : 1