Result
3:3
01/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 15
- Referee: Ulker H. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (182/262) | 85% (427/502) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (182/262) | 85% (427/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 51% (35/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/72) | 68% (80/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Parmak A. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Kavrazli S. ⚽, Tunc G. (A),
- 40', Kaynak O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Durmushan U. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
- 53', Saglam G. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 1, Demirkiran Y. ⚽, Kavrazli S. (A),
- 57', Yildiz A. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
- 62', Aksoy D. 🟨,
- 62', Gulay S. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 2, Saglam G. ⚽,
- 69', Kaynak O. 🟨,
- 77', Tunc G. ↓, Menemencioglu M. ↑,
- 82', Alici K. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
- 83', Demirtas E. ↓, Aktas H. E. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Kavrazli S. ⚽,
- 90', Kucuk K. ↓, Dubus D. A. ↑,
- 90+1', Menemencioglu M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Buz Y. A. ⚽, Matur O. (A),
Chances of winning
Adana Demirspor
10.2% | Draw
13.9% | Hatayspor
75.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adana Demirspor's form might have worsened.Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hatayspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adana Demirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-29.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hatayspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9 ↑
(5.83) |
6.85 ↑
(4.05) |
1.23 ↓
(1.49) |
6.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Adana Demirspor will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hatayspor: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Adana Demirspor (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Adana Demirspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hatayspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 2.
- Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
- In this match, Hatayspor is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Adana Demirspor: Fidan A.
(Suspended)
Gurol Y.
(Suspended)
Timur B.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Demir C.
(Suspended)
Temel S.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Hodzic A.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adana Demirspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Adana Demirspor won against Hatayspor?
Adana Demirspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Adana Demirspor?
Hatayspor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor were as follows:
17.05.2025
Adana Demirspor
-
Hatayspor
0:5
23.12.2024
Hatayspor
-
Adana Demirspor
1:3
27.01.2024
Adana Demirspor
-
Hatayspor
0:1
03.09.2023
Hatayspor
-
Adana Demirspor
3:3
04.09.2022
Hatayspor
-
Adana Demirspor
1:1
Latest results of Adana Demirspor
Latest results of Hatayspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
