Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin).

1. Lig - Round 34
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.81	0.30
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
7	2
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
2	2
Passes
70% (202/287)	83% (340/408)
Yellow cards
2	1
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.81	0.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.82	0.05
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked shots
1	1
Shots inside the box
10	1
Shots outside the box
0	9
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
21	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	2
Free kicks
12	8
Passes
70% (202/287)	83% (340/408)
Long passes
39% (28/71)	50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
49% (41/84)	64% (78/122)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.38	0.74
Throw ins
25	28
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
55% (12/22)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
48	42
Clearances
31	17
Interceptions
13	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.05	2.82
Goals prevented
0.05	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kaynak O. (Own goal),
8', Chaadaev R. 🟥,
18', Aksoy E. ↓, Ozen S. ↑,
32', 2 - 0, Ating P. ⚽, Osman S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Irga S. ↓, Ergen M. ↑,
66', Buz Y. A. 🟨,
71', Fidan A. 🟨,
74', Sarka B. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
75', Ating P. ↓, Arslan E. ↑,
78', Gazanfer S. 🟨,
83', 3 - 0, Durmushan U. ⚽, Arslan E. (A),
85', Durmushan U. ↓, Yildiz A. ↑,
85', Gazanfer S. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,
88', Kaynak O. ↓, Sarikaya A. ↑,
88', Menemencioglu M. ↓, Ozkanbas A. ↑,
88', Bayar T. ↓, Bas M. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 0, Aksoy D. ⚽, Yildiz A. (A),

Chances of winning

Hatayspor
60.6%

Draw
21.1%

Adana Demirspor
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Hatayspor - Adana Demirspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)	4.32 ↑ (4)	5.15 ↑ (4.99)	9% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Adana Demirspor?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Adana Demirspor will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hatayspor: 35.9% – 97.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 2.
Hatayspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Adana Demirspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Hatayspor is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Hatayspor: Bamgboye F. (Inactive) Massanga Matondo (Inactive) Ozgun T. (Suspended) Vatansever B. (Suspended)
There will not play in Adana Demirspor: Gulay S. (Suspended) Gurol Y. (Red Card)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Adana Demirspor?

Hatayspor has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Adana Demirspor won against Hatayspor?

Adana Demirspor has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Adana Demirspor were as follows:

01.12.2025 Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor 3:3

17.05.2025 Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor 0:5

23.12.2024 Hatayspor - Adana Demirspor 1:3

27.01.2024 Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor 0:1

03.09.2023 Hatayspor - Adana Demirspor 3:3

Latest results of Hatayspor

03.04.2026 Pendikspor - Hatayspor 4:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Hatayspor - Amed SK 0:3 ✺

15.03.2026 Erzurumspor - Hatayspor 3:0 ✺

11.03.2026 Hatayspor - Sivasspor 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Çorum - Hatayspor 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Adana Demirspor

03.04.2026 Adana Demirspor - Manisa FK 2:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Keçiörengücü - Adana Demirspor 7:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Adana Demirspor - Serik Belediyespor 1:4 ✺

10.03.2026 Vanspor - Adana Demirspor 1:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Adana Demirspor - Pendikspor 0:5 ✺

Turkish First League Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	38	23	12	3	82:27	55	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	39	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	46	74
4	Corum	38	21	8	9	63:39	24	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	32	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	25	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	30	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	13	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	1	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	4	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	2	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	0	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	-2	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	5	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	4	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	-4	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	-31	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	-27	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	-69	14
20	Adana Demirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-147	-54

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation