Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/02/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 24
  • Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.89
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
1416
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
68
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
36
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Free Kicks
1616
Offsides
10
Fouls
1616
Throw-ins
1521
Touches in the Opposition Box
1835
Passes
73% (235/323)80% (338/423)
Passes in the final third
51% (45/88)72% (100/138)
Crosses
33% (6/18)18% (5/28)
Tackles
68% (13/19)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
2825
Interceptions
87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Kilama G. 🟨,
  • 31', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
  • 33', Calvo F. 🟨,
  • 38', Augusto L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Yilmaz R. B. , Corekci K. ,
  • 46', Keskin E. , Vilhena T. ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Bamgboye F. ,
  • 60', Hwang Ui-Jo , Sporar A. ,
  • 65', Lima N. 🟨,
  • 67', Cordova S. , Janvier N. ,
  • 68', Boutobba B. , Saglam G. ,
  • 72', Fernandes J. 🟨,
  • 76', Aboubakar V. , Strandberg C. ,
  • 90', Parmak A. , Demir C. ,
  • 90+1', Sertel C. , Rui Pedro ,
  • 90+4', Bekaj V. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Augusto L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hatayspor
30.1%
Draw
26.7%
Alanyaspor
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 26.6% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 27.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Hatayspor - Alanyaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (2.81)
    3.55
    (3.56)
    2.19
    (2.4)
    5.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Alanyaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 30 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 65.9%91.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1.
    • Hatayspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Alanyaspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Hatayspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B. (Knee Injury) Ozdemir Y. (Yellow Cards) Richard (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Hatayspor: Alici K. (Injury) Corekci K. (Injury) Diack L. (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:13 (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Alanyaspor were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Alanyaspor - Hatayspor 0:0
    23.01.2024 Hatayspor - Alanyaspor 1:1
    27.08.2023 Alanyaspor - Hatayspor 0:0
    09.10.2022 Hatayspor - Alanyaspor 1:0
    Latest results of Hatayspor
    07.02.2025 Samsunspor - Hatayspor 2:0
    01.02.2025 Hatayspor - Antalyaspor 2:3
    27.01.2025 Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor 5:4
    17.01.2025 Hatayspor - Galatasaray 1:1
    Latest results of Alanyaspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray24184258:184058
    2Fenerbahce24159054:233154
    3Trabzonspor24156348:282051
    4Besiktas24137445:291646
    5Goztepe24119427:161142
    6Basaksehir24116742:261639
    7Samsunspor24711625:27-232
    8Kocaelispor24861021:25-430
    9Gaziantep2478930:40-1029
    10Rizespor2469931:35-427
    11Alanyaspor24511826:30-426
    12Genclerbirligi24661228:34-624
    13Antalyaspor24661224:38-1424
    14Konyaspor24581127:37-1023
    15Eyupspor24571219:35-1622
    16Kasimpasa24481220:35-1520
    17Kayserispor243111018:43-2520
    18Karagumruk24341721:45-2413

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig