Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 28
- Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (299/377) | 82% (302/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 2.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (299/377) | 82% (302/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 61% (35/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (50/80) | 64% (71/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Gonulacar M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Bilsel E. ↓, Seferi T. ↑,
- 46', Turk A. ↓, Hotic D. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Ajeti Ar. ⚽, Hotic D. (A),
- 56', 0 - 2, Habesoglu A. ⚽, Aslan A. (A),
- 59', Buz Y. A. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
- 59', Gazanfer S. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,
- 60', Azrak Y. ↓, Danjuma M. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 3, Brazao P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 67', Sarka B. ↓, Ating P. ↑,
- 68', Durmushan U. ↓, Yilmaz C. ↑,
- 70', Aslan A. ↓, Erdilman M. ↑,
- 70', Aytemur A. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
- 73', Aksoy E. ↓, Yildiz A. ↑,
- 77', Sen C. ↓, Yilmaz M. ↑,
- 85', Habesoglu A. 🟨,
- 87', Hotic D. ↓, Ogruce E. ↑,
- 89', Arslan E. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Osman S. ⚽,
- 90+2', Brazao P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
6.4% | Draw
11.8% | Bodrumspor
81.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Hatayspor - Bodrumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
14.37 ↑
(13.11) |
7.96 ↑
(7.88) |
1.13 ↓
(1.14) |
8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Bodrumspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Bodrumspor (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Hatayspor is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bodrumspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hatayspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bodrumspor is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Aydin S. M.
(Red Card)
Bamgboye F.
(Inactive)
Massanga Matondo
(Inactive)
Ozgun T.
(Suspended)
Vatansever B.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Arkutcu E.
(Injury)
Tarim I.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Bodrumspor?
Hatayspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Hatayspor?
Bodrumspor has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Bodrumspor were as follows:
05.10.2025
Bodrumspor
-
Hatayspor
5:0
21.02.2025
Bodrumspor
-
Hatayspor
1:0
20.09.2024
Hatayspor
-
Bodrumspor
0:1
Latest results of Hatayspor
Latest results of Bodrumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
