Result
2:2
19/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 6
- Referee: Dursun Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 1, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (169/263) | 84% (393/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (169/263) | 84% (393/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (16/76) | 64% (42/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 62% (68/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 19% (6/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -1.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Bamgboye F. ⚽,
- 24', Kilama G. ↓, Demir C. ↑,
- 33', 2 - 0, Rui Pedro ⚽,
- 40', Lico D. 🟨,
- 43', Parmak A. 🟨,
- 43', Hasani F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Akanbi R. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
- 46', Isik A. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
- 51', Saglam G. 🟨,
- 54', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 1, Hasani F. (Pen),
- 61', Durmushan U. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
- 62', Saglam G. ↓, Temel S. ↑,
- 68', Bekaj V. 🟨,
- 74', Rui Pedro ↓, Corekci K. ↑,
- 78', Davas D. ↓, Usluoglu A. ↑,
- 87', Lima L. ↓, Cayli M. A. ↑,
- 90+5', Aksoy E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Hasani F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
40.4% | Draw
25.7% | Boluspor
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hatayspor's performance.Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boluspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hatayspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boluspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hatayspor - Boluspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.75) |
3.78 ↑
(3.52) |
2.91 ↑
(2.3) |
2.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Boluspor?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Boluspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Hatayspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Boluspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hatayspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Strandberg C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Corekci K.
(Injury)
Hodzic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Saglam G.
(Muscle Injury)
Yildiz A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Boluspor: Alici B.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Boluspor?
Hatayspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boluspor won against Hatayspor?
Boluspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Boluspor were as follows:
Latest results of Hatayspor
Latest results of Boluspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erokspor | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Corum | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Boluspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Amedspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Serik Spor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Vanspor FK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Pendikspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Bandirmaspor | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 | Keciorengucu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Manisa FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Sakaryaspor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Sivasspor | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Hatayspor | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Sariyer | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:23 | -19 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
