Result
1:4
18/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 10
- Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (315/394) | 86% (420/486) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 4.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (315/394) | 86% (420/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 63% (26/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (56/85) | 67% (76/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.28 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Erdogan Y. ⚽, Samudio B. (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Aleksic D. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
- 40', Strandberg C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Aksoy E. ↓, Matur O. ↑,
- 46', Hodzic A. ↓, Bamgboye F. ↑,
- 50', Kilama G. 🟨,
- 56', Ergun U. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 3, Samudio B. ⚽, Erdogan Y. (A),
- 71', Rui Pedro 🟨,
- 77', Strandberg C. ↓, Buz Y. A. ↑,
- 78', Samudio B. ↓, Akyildiz S. ↑,
- 78', Gurbulak O. ↓, Akkaynak A. ↑,
- 78', Aleksic D. ↓, Yazgan F. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 4, Akkaynak A. ⚽, Caglayan O. (A),
- 83', Erdogan Y. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
- 85', Saglam G. ↓, Temel S. ↑,
- 85', Okoronkwo J. ↓, Durmushan U. ↑,
- 86', Kas E. ↓, Sertel C. ↑,
- 90+2', Corekci K. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 4, Temel S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
11.3% | Draw
16.6% | Çorum
72.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hatayspor's form might have worsened.Çorum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Çorum's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hatayspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Çorum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hatayspor - Çorum Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.59 ↑
(4.76) |
5.68 ↑
(3.91) |
1.28 ↓
(1.62) |
7.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Çorum?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Çorum (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Çorum will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Hatayspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Çorum's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Çorum may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Çorum is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Çorum: Akinay H.
(Finger Injury)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Alici K.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Çorum?
Hatayspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Çorum won against Hatayspor?
Çorum has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Çorum were as follows:
Latest results of Hatayspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
