Result
0:3
31/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 12
- Referee: Sen A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (229/308) | 90% (536/593) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 62 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (229/308) | 90% (536/593) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 93% (27/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 85% (235/278) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 15% (6/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Corekci K. 🟥,
- 25', Yildiz A. ↓, Temel S. ↑,
- 27', Temel S. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Tozlu E. ⚽,
- 38', Durmushan U. 🟨,
- 42', Crociata G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Keser B. 🟨,
- 59', Keser B. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
- 59', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Tozlu E. ⚽, Kirtay Y. (A),
- 77', Tozlu E. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
- 77', Baiye B. ↓, Akgun S. ↑,
- 78', Strandberg C. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
- 78', Durmushan U. ↓, Sarka B. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez M. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
- 88', Temel S. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,
- 88', Buz Y. A. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 3, Sylla C. ⚽, Ozhan F. (A),
- 90', Saglam G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
19.4% | Draw
24.2% | Erzurumspor
56.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Hatayspor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.74 ↓
(4.81) |
3.81 ↓
(3.9) |
1.64 ↑
(1.63) |
8.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Erzurumspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Erzurumspor (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Erzurumspor (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Erzurumspor (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erzurumspor will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Erzurumspor will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Erzurumspor (votes: 12 - 92.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Hatayspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Erzurumspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Erzurumspor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Aksoy E.
(Red Card)
Matur O.
(Yellow Cards)
Rui Pedro
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A.
(Inactive)
Kilinc K.
(Inactive)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Ovacikli O.
(Injury)
Yumlu M.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Erzurumspor?
Hatayspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Hatayspor?
Erzurumspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
Latest results of Hatayspor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
