Result
 
                    0:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        31/10/2025 at  13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  1. Lig - Round 12
- Referee: Sen A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Asia | TOD | 
|  Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.92 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 34% | 66% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 23 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 0 | 9 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 74% (229/308) | 90% (536/593) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.92 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.90 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 23 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 0 | 9 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 12 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 8 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 7 | 62 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 74% (229/308) | 90% (536/593) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 93% (27/29) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 85% (235/278) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 15% (6/39) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.14 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 9 | 10 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 7 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 67% (8/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 35 | 48 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 32 | 7 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 14 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.00 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.00 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Corekci K. 🟥, 
- 25', Yildiz A. ↓, Temel S. ↑, 
- 27', Temel S. 🟨, 
- 35', 0 - 1, Tozlu E. ⚽, 
- 38', Durmushan U. 🟨, 
- 42', Crociata G. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Keser B. 🟨, 
- 59', Keser B. ↓, Sylla C. ↑, 
- 59', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑, 
- 62', 0 - 2, Tozlu E. ⚽, Kirtay Y. (A), 
- 77', Tozlu E. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑, 
- 77', Baiye B. ↓, Akgun S. ↑, 
- 78', Strandberg C. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑, 
- 78', Durmushan U. ↓, Sarka B. ↑, 
- 80', Rodriguez M. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑, 
- 88', Temel S. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑, 
- 88', Buz Y. A. ↓, Sen M. ↑, 
- 88', 0 - 3, Sylla C. ⚽, Ozhan F. (A), 
- 90', Saglam G. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Hatayspor 19.4%
 | Draw 24.2%
 | Erzurumspor 56.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Hatayspor - Erzurumspor Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 4.74 ↓ (4.81)
 | 3.81 ↓ (3.9)
 | 1.64 ↑ (1.63)
 | 8.4% (7.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Erzurumspor?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 2 - 100%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Erzurumspor will win 
                    (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Hatayspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Erzurumspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Erzurumspor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Aksoy E.
(Red Card)
Matur O.
(Yellow Cards)
Rui Pedro
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A.
(Inactive)
Kilinc K.
(Inactive)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Ovacikli O.
(Injury)
Yumlu M.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Erzurumspor?
                    
                    
                        
                            Hatayspor has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Hatayspor?
                    
                    
                        
                             Erzurumspor has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Hatayspor                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Erzurumspor                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Turkish First League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:9 | 18 | 24 | 
| 2 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 | 
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 22:10 | 12 | 22 | 
| 4 | Corum | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 22 | 
| 5 | Erokspor | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 21 | 
| 6 | Amedspor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 | 
| 7 | Igdir FK | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 18 | 
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sakaryaspor | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 | 
| 10 | Bandirmaspor | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 | 
| 11 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 | 
| 12 | Boluspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 14 | 
| 13 | Istanbulspor AS | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 | 
| 14 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | 
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | 
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 | 
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 | 
| 19 | Hatayspor | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11:33 | -22 | 4 | 
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 | 
      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation