Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
31/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 12
  • Referee: Sen A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.92
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
523
Shots on target
09
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
74% (229/308)90% (536/593)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.002.90
Total shots
523
Shots on target
09
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
212
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
762
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
127
Passes
74% (229/308)90% (536/593)
Long passes
33% (19/57)93% (27/29)
Passes in final third
42% (18/43)85% (235/278)
Crosses
13% (1/8)15% (6/39)
Expected assists (xA)
0.172.14
Throw-ins
910
Fouls
712
Tackles
60% (6/10)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3548
Clearances
327
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
60
xGOT faced
2.900.00
Goals prevented
-0.100.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Corekci K. 🟥,
  • 25', Yildiz A. , Temel S. ,
  • 27', Temel S. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Tozlu E. ,
  • 38', Durmushan U. 🟨,
  • 42', Crociata G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', Keser B. 🟨,
  • 59', Keser B. , Sylla C. ,
  • 59', Crociata G. , Kabak A. ,
  • 62', 0 - 2, Tozlu E. , Kirtay Y. (A),
  • 77', Tozlu E. , Akpinar M. ,
  • 77', Baiye B. , Akgun S. ,
  • 78', Strandberg C. , Aydin S. M. ,
  • 78', Durmushan U. , Sarka B. ,
  • 80', Rodriguez M. , Ozhan F. ,
  • 88', Temel S. , Aydemir E. ,
  • 88', Buz Y. A. , Sen M. ,
  • 88', 0 - 3, Sylla C. , Ozhan F. (A),
  • 90', Saglam G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hatayspor
19.4%
Draw
24.2%
Erzurumspor
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 23.8% 56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 23.1% 58.6%

Hatayspor - Erzurumspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.74
(4.81)
3.81
(3.9)
1.64
(1.63)
8.4%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Erzurumspor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Erzurumspor (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Erzurumspor (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Erzurumspor (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Hatayspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Erzurumspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Erzurumspor is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hatayspor: Aksoy E. (Red Card) Matur O. (Yellow Cards) Rui Pedro (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A. (Inactive) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Ovacikli O. (Injury) Yumlu M. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    Latest results of Hatayspor
    24.10.2025 Sivasspor - Hatayspor 1:1
    18.10.2025 Hatayspor - Çorum 1:4
    05.10.2025 Bodrumspor - Hatayspor 5:0
    28.09.2025 Hatayspor - Bandırmaspor 0:3
    23.09.2025 Igdirspor - Hatayspor 4:2
    Latest results of Erzurumspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amedspor21133543:271642
    2Erzurumspor21109237:172039
    3Erokspor21108346:202638
    4Pendikspor21108333:171638
    5Corum21105632:221035
    6Bodrumspor2196639:201933
    7Igdir FK2196630:28233
    8Boluspor2195738:231532
    9Keciorengucu2179538:251330
    10Bandirmaspor2186726:22430
    11Vanspor FK2177727:21628
    12Sivasspor2177726:22428
    13Istanbulspor AS21610530:32-228
    14Manisa FK2176831:33-227
    15Sariyer21831022:26-427
    16Serik Spor2175923:37-1426
    17Umraniyespor21731125:30-524
    18Sakaryaspor21651032:40-823
    19Hatayspor21071418:57-397
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 21021915:92-77-28

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to