Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 31
- Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (419/476) | 82% (304/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (419/476) | 82% (304/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (128/162) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 50% (11/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.01 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', Sertel C. 🟨,
- 31', Yilmaz R. B. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Aboubakar V. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
- 44', Husic A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Boateng E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Parmak A. 🟨,
- 47', Husic A. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,
- 47', Bozan M. ↓, Dioudis S. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Dervisoglu H. ⚽, Okereke D. (A),
- 71', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Daubin Q. ↑,
- 72', Yilmaz R. B. ↓, Corekci K. ↑,
- 76', Bamgboye F. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 80', Saglam G. 🟨,
- 83', Maxim A. ↓, Soyalp F. ↑,
- 83', Aboubakar V. ↓, Okoronkwo J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gaziantep 60.5% | Draw 20.8% | Hatayspor 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gaziantep, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Gaziantep - Hatayspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↑ (1.5) |
4.54 ↓ (4.64) |
5.13 ↓ (5.82) |
5.9% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Gaziantep - Hatayspor?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gaziantep will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gaziantep won 1.
- Gaziantep is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Hatayspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Gaziantep is a favorite.
- There will not play in Gaziantep: Kozlowski K.
(Yellow Cards)
Lungoyi C.
(Yellow Cards)
Stephen G.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Diack L.
(Injury)
Massanga Matondo
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Gaziantep won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gaziantep won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gaziantep won against Hatayspor?
Gaziantep has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Gaziantep?
Hatayspor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gaziantep - Hatayspor were as follows:
09.11.2024
Hatayspor
-
Gaziantep
3:1
05.05.2024
Gaziantep
-
Hatayspor
1:1
10.01.2024
Hatayspor
-
Gaziantep
0:0
01.02.2023
Gaziantep
-
Hatayspor
4:1
14.12.2022
Gaziantep
-
Hatayspor
1:2
Latest results of Gaziantep
Latest results of Hatayspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )