Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 1, Shojaeian D. ⚽,
- 61', Helichi A. 🟨,
- 63', Ahmadi M. ↓, Rahmani E. ↑,
- 63', Shojaeian D. ↓, Eslami K. ↑,
- 65', Savio Roberto ↓, Mohkamkar A. ↑,
- 65', Barani B. ↓, Bahiraei H. ↑,
- 71', Khodaei M. 🟨,
- 72', Motlaghzadeh M. (Pen),
- 79', Helichi A. ↓, Arghand A. ↑,
- 88', Motlaghzadeh M. ↓, Baghaki S. D. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Kaina ⚽,
Chances of winning
Esteghlal Khuzestan 54.5% | Draw 28.4% | Havadar 17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esteghlal Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esteghlal Khuzestan's performance.Havadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Havadar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal Khuzestan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Havadar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Esteghlal Khuzestan - Havadar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (2.05) |
3.25 ↑ (3.03) |
5.41 ↑ (3.78) |
8.3% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Esteghlal Khuzestan - Havadar?
Users Predictions:
Esteghlal Khuzestan will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esteghlal Khuzestan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Esteghlal Khuzestan will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Esteghlal Khuzestan won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal Khuzestan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Esteghlal Khuzestan won against Havadar?
Esteghlal Khuzestan has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Havadar won against Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Havadar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esteghlal Khuzestan - Havadar were as follows:
02.12.2024
Havadar
-
Esteghlal Khuzestan
0:1
01.06.2024
Esteghlal Khuzestan
-
Havadar
3:1
31.12.2023
Havadar
-
Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:0
Latest results of Esteghlal Khuzestan
Latest results of Havadar
Iran Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Esteghlal F.C | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Tractor | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:12 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Sepahan | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | Gol Gohar | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | Chadormalu | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Persepolis | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 34 |
| 7 | Foolad | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 29 |
| 10 | Malavan | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 29 |
| 11 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Paykan | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Aluminium Arak | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 | Zob Ahan | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 12:19 | -7 | 19 |
| 16 | Mes Rafsanjan | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Azadegan League