Havadar vs SaiPa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
20/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Hazfi Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Tahmasebi M. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mehrabizadeh S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 75', 2 - 1, Tahmasebi M. , Ghaseminejad A. (A),
  • 88', 2 - 2, Shahram S. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 105+5', Gholamalibeigi S. 🟥,
  • Penalties (6 - 7)
  • 1, Yahyazadeh A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Soleimanzadeh R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Pourhashem H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Heydari E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Dehghan A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Tahmasebi M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Gholibeigi M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Rahmani E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Chaharmahali M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Alaei A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Setayesh A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Mansouri M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Rahmati K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 9, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 9, Ranjbar H. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Havadar
43.4%
Draw
31.8%
SaiPa
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 33.4% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 33.6% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Havadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Havadar's performance.
  • SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SaiPa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Havadar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SaiPa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Havadar - SaiPa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.51)
    3.05
    (2.72)
    3.9
    (2.99)
    3.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Havadar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • SaiPa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Havadar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Havadar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Havadar - SaiPa were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Havadar - SaiPa 0:0
    Latest results of Havadar
    06.12.2025 Damash Gilan - Havadar 0:2
    30.11.2025 Havadar - Besat Kermanshah 2:2
    22.11.2025 Havadar - New Bargh Fars 3:1
    14.11.2025 Mes Kerman - Havadar 1:0
    Latest results of SaiPa
    13.12.2025 Shahrdari Noshahr - SaiPa 0:1
    06.12.2025 SaiPa - Fard Alborz 0:0
    27.11.2025 Ario Eslamshahr - SaiPa 0:1
    20.11.2025 SaiPa - Nassaji Mazandaran 1:0
    14.11.2025 SaiPa - Pars Jonoubi Jam 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1Foolad HormozganChooka Talesh2 : 0
    2Esteghlal F.C.Padyab2 : 1
    3Havadar SCBargh3 : 1
    4SaipaNassaji Mazandaran1 : 0
    5Gol GoharShenavarsazi Qeshm1 : 0
    6Mes RafsanjanDamash Gilan1 : 0
    7Aluminium ArakMalavan1 : 2
    8Mes Shahr BabakFajr Sepasi1 : 0
    9Besat KermanshahNaft Gachsaran0 : 1
    10PaykanShahrdari Noshahr2 : 0
    11Esteghlal KhuzestanFoolad0 : 3
    12ChadormaluZob Ahan1 : 0
    13Mes KermanSepahan0 : 1
    14Kheybar KhorramabadKIA FA2 : 1
    15Shams Azar QazvinNiroye Zamini3 : 2
    16TractorPersepolis2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Foolad HormozganEsteghlal F.C.0 : 2
    2Havadar SCSaipa2 : 3
    3Gol GoharMes Rafsanjan1 : 0
    4MalavanMes Shahr Babak3 : 0
    5Naft GachsaranPaykan0 : 1
    6FooladChadormalu2 : 0
    7SepahanKheybar Khorramabad1 : 3
    8Shams Azar QazvinTractor