Result
2:3
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 9
- Referee: Williams B. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 47', 0 - 1, Kavanagh R. ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 1, Abbruzzese R. ⚽,
- 61', Kavanagh R. 🟨,
- 62', Rees D. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
- 67', Wigley M. ↓, Owen Ieuan Gwyn ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Owen Ieuan Gwyn ⚽,
- 77', Makwiramiti P. ↓, Watkins A. ↑,
- 77', Fawcett B. ↓, Thomas H. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Shephard C. ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 3, Margetson B. ⚽,
- 90+3', Sainty C. ↓, Richards E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/c95dxt3n
Chances of winning
Haverfordwest County
33.7% | Draw
29% | Barry Town United
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haverfordwest County's form might have worsened.Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barry Town United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+18.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haverfordwest County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-13.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barry Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(1.79) |
3.24 ↓
(3.75) |
2.52 ↓
(3.75) |
6.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Haverfordwest will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Barry Town will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barry Town: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 2.
- Haverfordwest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Barry Town has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Haverfordwest might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Haverfordwest County won against Barry Town United?
Haverfordwest County has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barry Town United won against Haverfordwest County?
Barry Town United has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United were as follows:
14.01.2025
Barry Town United
-
Haverfordwest County
1:1
24.09.2024
Haverfordwest County
-
Barry Town United
1:1
05.04.2024
Haverfordwest County
-
Barry Town United
2:1
23.02.2024
Barry Town United
-
Haverfordwest County
1:1
26.12.2023
Haverfordwest County
-
Barry Town United
2:0
Latest results of Haverfordwest County
Latest results of Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 43:10 | 33 | 35 |
| 2 | Penybont | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 32:21 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23:24 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Barry | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Bala | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 9 | Flint | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 24:29 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7:41 | -34 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
