Haverfordwest County vs Barry Town United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United
Result
2:3
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 9
  • Referee: Williams B. (Wal)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
49
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Kavanagh R. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Abbruzzese R. ,
  • 61', Kavanagh R. 🟨,
  • 62', Rees D. , Hughes W. ,
  • 67', Wigley M. , Owen Ieuan Gwyn ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Owen Ieuan Gwyn ,
  • 77', Makwiramiti P. , Watkins A. ,
  • 77', Fawcett B. , Thomas H. ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Shephard C. ,
  • 90', 2 - 3, Margetson B. ,
  • 90+3', Sainty C. , Richards E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/c95dxt3n

Official Live

Chances of winning


Haverfordwest County
33.7%
Draw
29%
Barry Town United
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 24.4% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 25% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haverfordwest County's form might have worsened.
  • Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barry Town United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haverfordwest County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barry Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (1.79)
    3.24
    (3.75)
    2.52
    (3.75)
    6.4%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Haverfordwest will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Barry Town will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barry Town: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 2.
    • Haverfordwest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Barry Town has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Haverfordwest might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United were as follows:
    14.01.2025 Barry Town United - Haverfordwest County 1:1
    24.09.2024 Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United 1:1
    05.04.2024 Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United 2:1
    23.02.2024 Barry Town United - Haverfordwest County 1:1
    26.12.2023 Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United 2:0
    Latest results of Barry Town United
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1182130:72326
    2Penybont1172218:61223
    3Caernarfon1162327:161120
    4Connahs Q1043314:13115
    5Bala114349:14-515
    6Colwyn Bay1135313:9414
    7Barry1135314:14014
    8Flint1032519:24-511
    9Cardiff Metropolitan1125416:22-611
    10Briton Ferry1024416:17-110
    11Haverfordwest1022610:20-108
    12Llanelli112186:30-247

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
          Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )