Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff Metropolitan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 28
  • Referee: Jenkins R. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Corner kicks
72
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Makwiramiti P. 🟨,
  • 27', Rees L. , Morris J. ,
  • 39', Evans E. , Soady B. ,
  • 41', Craven C. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ahmun B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Kabongo D. 🟨,
  • 67', Makwiramiti P. , Jones O. ,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Jones O. ,
  • 86', Edwards J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Haverfordwest County
51.3%
Draw
27%
Cardiff Metropolitan
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 29.1% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 28.3% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haverfordwest County's performance.
  • Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Metropolitan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haverfordwest County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff Metropolitan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Haverfordwest County - Cardiff Metropolitan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.32)
    3.42
    (3.15)
    4.26
    (2.93)
    8.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 2.
    • Haverfordwest is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cardiff Metropolitan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Haverfordwest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Haverfordwest could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Haverfordwest County - Cardiff Metropolitan were as follows:
    23.01.2026 Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County 0:2
    30.12.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County 0:0
    22.08.2025 Haverfordwest County - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:2
    11.04.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County 1:1
    21.02.2025 Haverfordwest County - Cardiff Metropolitan 1:0
    Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS ✔ 29232474:245071
    2Connahs Q. ✔ 29168558:342456
    3Colwyn Bay ✔ 291271040:34643
    4Barry ✔ 29119940:31942
    5Penybont ✔ 291171139:45-640
    6Caernarfon ✔ 291091052:43939

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)