Llanelli vs Haverfordwest County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stebonheath Park (Llanelli).

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Chances of winning

Llanelli
28.1%

Draw
24.5%

Haverfordwest County
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

22.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

21.9%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llanelli's form might have worsened.

Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haverfordwest County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llanelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haverfordwest County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llanelli - Haverfordwest County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.4)	3.71 ↓ (3.98)	1.92 ↓ (2.25)	10% (11.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Haverfordwest will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Llanelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Llanelli won against Haverfordwest County?

Llanelli has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Haverfordwest County won against Llanelli?

Haverfordwest County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Llanelli - Haverfordwest County were as follows:

26.09.2025 Llanelli - Haverfordwest County 1:0

13.12.2024 Haverfordwest County - Llanelli 0:2

Latest results of Llanelli

11.10.2025 Flint Town United - Llanelli 4:0 ✺

07.10.2025 Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan 1:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Llanelli 3:0 ✺

26.09.2025 Llanelli - Haverfordwest County 1:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Haverfordwest County

10.10.2025 Haverfordwest County - Bala Town 2:0 ✺

07.10.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Haverfordwest County - Flint Town United 3:1 ✺

26.09.2025 Llanelli - Haverfordwest County 1:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United 2:3 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/64-finals

1	Carmarthen Town	Bye
2	Bye	Trethomas Bluebirds
3	Llanfair United	Kinmel Bay	1 : 2
4	Bye	Colwyn Bay
5	Dinas Powys	Afan United	3 : 1
6	Cardiff Draconians	Cwmbran Celtic	4 : 2
7	Abercarn United	Swansea University	1 : 2
8	Bye	Trefelin
9	Llwydcoed	Lliswerry	3 : 1
10	Pill	Treowen (WO.)
11	Pontypridd	Bye
12	Rhayader	Cefn Cribwr	1 : 4
13	St. Asaph	Bangor 1876	0 : 6
14	Bye	Guilsfield
15	Holywell	Bye
16	Rhostyllen	Nefyn United	5 : 2
17	Cwmbach Royal	Garden Village	3 : 4
18	Tredegar Town	Glynneath Town	1 : 3
19	Broughton Utd	Welshpool	2 : 1
20	Berriew FC	Trearddur Bay	0 : 3
21	Caersws FC	Hawarden Rangers	6 : 1
22	Dolgellau Athletic	Queens Park	8 : 3
23	Penydarren	Caerau Ely	0 : 5
24	Morriston Town	Clydach	1 : 0
25	Goytre Utd	Ammanford	2 : 1
26	Bye	Cambrian United
27	Briton Ferry	Bye
28	Bye	Penybont
29	Newtown	Bye
30	Bye	Caernarfon
31	Llannefydd	Llanberis	5 : 1
32	Penrhyncoch	Sychdyn Utd	2 : 0
33	Porthmadog	Denbigh	3 : 2
34	Bye	Buckley
35	Port Talbot	Seven Sisters	2 : 1
36	Afan Lido	Evans Williams	3 : 2
37	Llandudno	Bye
38	Bye	Flint Mountain
39	Bala	Bye
40	Bye	Connahs Q.
41	Pwllheli	Rhyl	1 : 3
42	Brickfield	NFA	3 : 1
43	Llantwit Major	Baglan Dragons	2 : 0
44	Cwmbran Town	Ynyshir Albions	5 : 4
45	Cardiff Metropolitan	Bye
46	Taffs Well	Abertillery Excelsiors	2 : 1
47	Mold Alexandra	Bye
48	Bye	TNS
49	Caerphilly	Caldicot	1 : 3
50	Penrhiwceiber Rangers	Pentwynmawr Ath	7 : 0
51	Saltney Town	Gresford	3 : 7
52	Llanrug	Ruthin	4 : 3
53	Llanelli	Bye
54	Bye	Haverfordwest
55	Aberystwyth	Bye
56	Bye	Barry
57	Bow Street	Cefn Albion	4 : 2
58	Bye	Flint
59	Holyhead	Forden Utd	4 : 0
60	Bye	Airbus
61	Newport City	Bye
62	Penygraig Utd	Cwm Welfare	3 : 2
63	Blaenavon Blues	Canton	4 : 1
64	Pontyclun	Tata	4 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Carmarthen Town	Trethomas Bluebirds	5 : 1
2	Kinmel Bay	Colwyn Bay	0 : 5
3	Dinas Powys	Cardiff Draconians	1 : 3
4	Swansea University	Trefelin	1 : 6
5	Llwydcoed	Treowen	2 : 5
6	Pontypridd	Cefn Cribwr	3 : 1
7	Bangor 1876	Guilsfield	2 : 1
8	Holywell	Rhostyllen	3 : 2
9	Garden Village	Glynneath Town	2 : 4
10	Broughton Utd	Trearddur Bay	0 : 6
11	Caersws FC	Dolgellau Athletic	0 : 1
12	Caerau Ely	Morriston Town	3 : 0
13	Goytre Utd	Cambrian United	0 : 6
14	Briton Ferry	Penybont	0 : 5
15	Newtown	Caernarfon	0 : 3
16	Llannefydd	Penrhyncoch	1 : 2
17	Porthmadog	Buckley	1 : 0
18	Port Talbot	Afan Lido	3 : 1
19	Llandudno	Flint Mountain	3 : 0
20	Bala	Connahs Q.	0 : 3
21	Rhyl	Brickfield	1 : 0
22	Llantwit Major	Cwmbran Town	1 : 2
23	Cardiff Metropolitan	Taffs Well	5 : 1
24	Mold Alexandra	TNS	1 : 2
25	Caldicot	Penrhiwceiber Rangers	0 : 2
26	Gresford	Llanrug	9 : 0
27	Llanelli	Haverfordwest	3 : 0
28	Aberystwyth	Barry	0 : 5
29	Bow Street	Flint	0 : 3
30	Holyhead	Airbus	2 : 5
31	Newport City	Penygraig Utd	3 : 1
32	Blaenavon Blues	Pontyclun	4 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Carmarthen Town	Colwyn Bay
2	Cardiff Draconians	Trefelin
3	Treowen	Pontypridd
4	Bangor 1876	Holywell
5	Glynneath Town	Trearddur Bay
6	Dolgellau Athletic	Caerau Ely
7	Cambrian United	Penybont
8	Caernarfon	Penrhyncoch
9	Porthmadog	Port Talbot
10	Llandudno	Connahs Q.
11	Rhyl	Cwmbran Town
12	Cardiff Metropolitan	TNS
13	Penrhiwceiber Rangers	Gresford
14	Llanelli	Barry
15	Flint	Airbus
16	Newport City	Blaenavon Blues