Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Gebra D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hawassa City
41.1% | Draw
34% | Dire Dawa City
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawassa City's form might have worsened.Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dire Dawa City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+23%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawassa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dire Dawa City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.45) |
2.65 ↓
(3.3) |
3.62 ↓
(9) |
11%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 3.
- Hawassa City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dire Dawa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Hawassa City is the team to beat.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hawassa City won against Dire Dawa City?
Hawassa City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dire Dawa City won against Hawassa City?
Dire Dawa City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City were as follows:
18.10.2025
Dire Dawa City
-
Hawassa City
0:2
08.05.2025
Dire Dawa City
-
Hawassa City
0:1
23.11.2024
Hawassa City
-
Dire Dawa City
0:1
15.03.2024
Dire Dawa City
-
Hawassa City
1:3
21.10.2023
Hawassa City
-
Dire Dawa City
0:0
Latest results of Hawassa City
Latest results of Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Mechal | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Adama City | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Dire Dawa | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Welayta Dicha | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 15 | St. George | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 31 |
| 16 | Ethiopian Insurance | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 29 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 29 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 18:31 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
