Result
45:19
05/09/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (24 - 7)
- 2nd Half (21 - 12)
Chances of winning
Hawkes Bay
63.7% | Draw
3.7% | Wellington
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawkes Bay's performance.Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawkes Bay that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hawkes Bay - Wellington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.76) |
24.5 ↑
(24) |
2.81 ↑
(2.08) |
9.3%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 57.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for Hawkes Bay - Wellington?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Hawkes Bay will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:26.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hawkes Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Hawkes Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 370:369. (average 26.4:26.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 196:163. (average 28:23.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hawkes Bay won against Wellington?
Hawkes Bay has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington won against Hawkes Bay?
Wellington has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hawkes Bay - Wellington were as follows:
04.10.2024
Wellington
-
Hawkes Bay
46:28
14.10.2023
Wellington
-
Hawkes Bay
24:25
29.09.2023
Wellington
-
Hawkes Bay
18:20
07.10.2022
Wellington
-
Hawkes Bay
28:21
17.09.2022
Hawkes Bay
-
Wellington
12:19
Latest results of Hawkes Bay
Latest results of Wellington
New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Canterbury | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 273:135 | 30 |
| 2 | Otago | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 246:205 | 26 |
| 3 | Taranaki | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 265:175 | 23 |
| 4 | Hawke's Bay | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 239:188 | 22 |
| 5 | Waikato | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 204:231 | 22 |
| 6 | Bay of Plenty | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 191:128 | 20 |
| 7 | Tasman | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 228:203 | 19 |
| 8 | Northland | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 162:169 | 16 |
| 9 | Manawatu | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 194:262 | 14 |
| 10 | Counties Manukau | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 238:253 | 14 |
| 11 | Wellington | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 275:265 | 14 |
| 12 | Southland | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 159:296 | 13 |
| 13 | Auckland | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 208:283 | 11 |
| 14 | North Harbour | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 144:233 | 3 |
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