Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 8
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1

Match Stats


Goals
15	13
Behinds
3	15
Kicks
199	233
Handballs
145	184
Disposals
344	417
Frees for
23	25
Frees against
25	23
Clearances completed
23	39
Marks
100	108
Tackles
53	45
Hitouts
23	40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (30 - 13)
00:45, (Behind Rushed),
05:01, D'Ambrosio M. (G),
07:37, De Goey J. (G),
09:43, (Behind Rushed),
12:51, Lewis M. (Behind),
15:28, Hayes W. (G),
17:43, Lewis M. (Behind),
20:08, Schultz L. (G),
21:46, Newcombe J. (Behind),
23:02, Anderson A. (G),
24:35, Battle J. (Behind),
27:12, Gunston J. (Behind),
29:44, De Goey J. (G),
2nd Quarter (15 - 27)
00:35, Maynard B. (G),
02:59, Weddle J. (Behind),
05:16, McStay D. (Behind),
08:37, Ginnivan J. (G),
13:28, Buller J. (G),
16:00, Reeves N. (G),
20:20, Reeves N. (Behind),
21:59, Houston D. (Behind),
23:43, (Behind Rushed),
24:47, Watson N. (G),
26:15, Houston D. (Behind),
29:03, Newcombe J. (G),
3rd Quarter (30 - 37)
07:11, Elliott J. (G),
08:38, Hayes W. (G),
10:28, Watson N. (G),
11:35, Macdonald C. (G),
13:16, McStay D. (G),
15:17, Lewis M. (G),
16:27, Macdonald C. (G),
20:29, Newcombe J. (Behind),
22:54, Steene O. (G),
24:50, Daicos N. (G),
29:34, Lewis M. (G),
31:54, Dear C. (G),
4th Quarter (18 - 16)
02:05, Weddle J. (Behind),
06:20, Elliott J. (G),
08:41, (Behind Rushed),
10:48, Maginness F. (Behind),
13:33, Elliott J. (G),
21:00, Macdonald C. (G),
24:31, Sidebottom S. (G),
29:22, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
30:29, Moore D. (G),

Chances of winning

Collingwood Magpies
23.1%

Hawthorn Hawks
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Collingwood Magpies's form might have worsened.

Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hawthorn Hawks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Collingwood Magpies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (2.9)		1.2 ↓ (1.42)	9% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-28)

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 2.
In recent matches, Collingwood has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hawthorn is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Hawthorn has had a series of home games.
In this match, Hawthorn is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1633:1911. (average 81.7:95.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 686:666. (average 85.8:83.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Collingwood Magpies has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Collingwood Magpies?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:

07.08.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 110:46

30.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 107:56

20.07.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 133:67

07.04.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 77:72

05.08.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 105:73

Latest results of Collingwood Magpies

25.04.2026 Essendon Bombers - Collingwood Magpies 60:137 ✺

16.04.2026 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 83:88 ✺

10.04.2026 Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers 39:45 ✺

02.04.2026 Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies 119:65 ✺

27.03.2026 Collingwood Magpies - Greater Western Sydney Giants 87:54 ✺

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

24.04.2026 Hawthorn Hawks - Gold Coast Suns 112:63 ✺

18.04.2026 Hawthorn Hawks - Port Adelaide Power 89:86 ✺

11.04.2026 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 104:64 ✺

06.04.2026 Hawthorn Hawks - Geelong Cats 92:91 ✺

19.03.2026 Hawthorn Hawks - Sydney Swans 99:82 ✺

AFL Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Sydney Swans	8	7	0	1	945:571	165.50	28
2	Fremantle Dockers	8	7	0	1	758:570	132.98	28
3	Hawthorn Hawks	8	6	1	1	829:684	121.20	26
4	Brisbane Lions	8	5	0	3	862:684	126.02	20
5	Gold Coast Suns	8	5	0	3	806:695	115.97	20
6	Geelong Cats	8	5	0	3	791:690	114.64	20
7	Melbourne Demons	8	5	0	3	811:809	100.25	20
8	Collingwood Magpies	8	4	1	3	666:613	108.65	18
9	St Kilda Saints	8	4	0	4	765:666	114.86	16
10	North Melbourne	8	4	0	4	764:720	106.11	16
11	Adelaide Crows	8	4	0	4	685:709	96.61	16
12	Western Bulldogs	8	4	0	4	720:787	91.49	16
13	Port Adelaide Power	8	3	0	5	703:634	110.88	12
14	GWS Giants	8	3	0	5	668:757	88.24	12
15	West Coast Eagles	8	2	0	6	557:939	59.32	8
16	Carlton Blues	8	1	0	7	634:812	78.08	4
17	Essendon Bombers	8	1	0	7	649:925	70.16	4
18	Richmond Tigers	8	1	0	7	523:871	60.05	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )