Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 13
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network

Match Stats


Goals
8	12
Behinds
11	9
Kicks
185	216
Handballs
163	156
Disposals
348	372
Frees For
15	10
Frees Against
10	15
Clearances Completed
39	34
Marks
69	87
Tackles
72	82
Hitouts
34	51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (8 - 32)
00:57, Ginnivan J. (G),
03:39, English T. (Behind),
05:43, Meek L. (Behind),
07:10, Chol M. (G),
09:51, Williams B. (G),
12:18, (Behind Rushed),
13:58, Weddle J. (G),
15:32, Macdonald C. (G),
18:53, Nash C. (G),
23:24, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (21 - 20)
04:41, Kennedy M. (G),
06:43, West R. (Behind),
09:57, Harmes J. (G),
13:57, Ramsden M. (Behind),
18:06, Moore D. (Behind),
20:23, (Behind Rushed),
21:20, Gunston J. (G),
22:48, Newcombe J. (G),
24:01, Richards E. (G),
26:53, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
30:28, Chol M. (G),
3rd Quarter (21 - 13)
06:03, Harmes J. (Behind),
08:24, Chol M. (G),
15:37, Vandermeer L. (G),
18:45, Chol M. (G),
21:26, Lobb R. (G),
24:02, Lobb R. (Behind),
26:12, Vandermeer L. (G),
27:44, Impey J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (9 - 16)
00:20, Sanders R. (Behind),
05:24, Impey J. (G),
09:16, Ginnivan J. (G),
10:50, Lobb R. (Behind),
13:51, Moore D. (Behind),
16:51, English T. (Behind),
19:22, Khamis B. (G),
21:42, (Behind Rushed),
26:09, Macdonald C. (Behind),
27:52, (Behind Rushed),
30:18, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Western Bulldogs
69.8%

Hawthorn Hawks
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Bulldogs's performance.

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.65)		3.04 ↑ (2.18)	6.7% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Western is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1637:1674. (average 81.9:83.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 696:712. (average 87:89).

How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Western Bulldogs has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Western Bulldogs?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:

27.02.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 66:77

06.09.2024 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 62:99

05.05.2024 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 91:98

02.03.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 62:119

12.08.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 67:64

Latest results of Western Bulldogs

22.05.2025 Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs 127:113 ✺

17.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers 127:36 ✺

10.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs 106:96 ✺

02.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power 131:41 ✺

26.04.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs 81:113 ✺

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

30.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 107:56 ✺

24.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 60:93 ✺

15.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 104:96 ✺

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91 ✺

04.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers 109:44 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	19	15	0	4	1742:1290	135.04	60
2	Adelaide Crows	19	14	0	5	1918:1314	145.97	56
3	Brisbane Lions	19	13	1	5	1689:1524	110.83	54
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Hawthorn Hawks	19	13	0	6	1677:1399	119.87	52
6	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
7	GWS Giants	20	13	0	7	1766:1586	111.35	52
8	Western Bulldogs	20	12	0	8	2165:1577	137.29	48
9	Gold Coast Suns	18	12	0	6	1677:1403	119.53	48
10	Sydney Swans	19	9	0	10	1499:1596	93.92	36
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
13	Melbourne Demons	19	6	0	13	1532:1703	89.96	24
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	18	6	0	12	1227:1712	71.67	24
16	Richmond Tigers	19	5	0	14	1223:1796	68.10	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	19	1	0	18	1249:1968	63.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )