Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 13

Match Stats


Goals
8	12
Behinds
11	9
Kicks
185	216
Handballs
163	156
Disposals
348	372
Frees For
15	10
Frees Against
10	15
Clearances Completed
39	34
Marks
69	87
Tackles
72	82
Hitouts
34	51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (8 - 32)
00:57, Ginnivan J. (G),
03:39, English T. (Behind),
05:43, Meek L. (Behind),
07:10, Chol M. (G),
09:51, Williams B. (G),
12:18, (Behind Rushed),
13:58, Weddle J. (G),
15:32, Macdonald C. (G),
18:53, Nash C. (G),
23:24, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (21 - 20)
04:41, Kennedy M. (G),
06:43, West R. (Behind),
09:57, Harmes J. (G),
13:57, Ramsden M. (Behind),
18:06, Moore D. (Behind),
20:23, (Behind Rushed),
21:20, Gunston J. (G),
22:48, Newcombe J. (G),
24:01, Richards E. (G),
26:53, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
30:28, Chol M. (G),
3rd Quarter (21 - 13)
06:03, Harmes J. (Behind),
08:24, Chol M. (G),
15:37, Vandermeer L. (G),
18:45, Chol M. (G),
21:26, Lobb R. (G),
24:02, Lobb R. (Behind),
26:12, Vandermeer L. (G),
27:44, Impey J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (9 - 16)
00:20, Sanders R. (Behind),
05:24, Impey J. (G),
09:16, Ginnivan J. (G),
10:50, Lobb R. (Behind),
13:51, Moore D. (Behind),
16:51, English T. (Behind),
19:22, Khamis B. (G),
21:42, (Behind Rushed),
26:09, Macdonald C. (Behind),
27:52, (Behind Rushed),
30:18, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Western Bulldogs
69.8%

Hawthorn Hawks
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Bulldogs's performance.

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.65)		3.04 ↑ (2.18)	6.7% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Western is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1637:1674. (average 81.9:83.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 696:712. (average 87:89).

How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Western Bulldogs has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Western Bulldogs?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:

27.02.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 66:77

06.09.2024 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 62:99

05.05.2024 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 91:98

02.03.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 62:119

12.08.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 67:64

Latest results of Western Bulldogs

22.05.2025 Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs 127:113 ✺

17.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers 127:36 ✺

10.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs 106:96 ✺

02.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power 131:41 ✺

26.04.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs 81:113 ✺

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

30.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 107:56 ✺

24.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 60:93 ✺

15.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 104:96 ✺

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91 ✺

04.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers 109:44 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	15	13	0	2	1393:1026	135.77	52
2	Brisbane Lions	15	10	1	4	1316:1160	113.45	42
3	Adelaide Crows	15	10	0	5	1479:1058	139.79	40
4	Geelong Cats	15	10	0	5	1477:1158	127.55	40
5	Hawthorn Hawks	15	10	0	5	1347:1138	118.37	40
6	Fremantle Dockers	15	10	0	5	1271:1151	110.43	40
7	Western Bulldogs	15	9	0	6	1582:1203	131.50	36
8	Gold Coast Suns	14	9	0	5	1317:1095	120.27	36
9	GWS Giants	15	9	0	6	1294:1203	107.56	36
10	Port Adelaide Power	15	7	0	8	1156:1305	88.58	28
11	Carlton Blues	15	6	0	9	1186:1181	100.42	24
12	Sydney Swans	15	6	0	9	1171:1271	92.13	24
13	Essendon Bombers	14	6	0	8	1010:1304	77.45	24
14	Melbourne Demons	15	5	0	10	1176:1356	86.73	20
15	St Kilda Saints	15	5	0	10	1196:1388	86.17	20
16	North Melbourne	15	4	1	10	1152:1467	78.53	18
17	Richmond Tigers	15	3	0	12	963:1486	64.80	12
18	West Coast Eagles	15	1	0	14	1003:1539	65.17	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network