Hayato Matsuoka vs Bernard Tomic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Tomic B. retired
17/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
59%68%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (13/17)77% (20/26)
2nd Serve Points Won
75% (9/12)25% (3/12)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
19% (5/26)24% (4/17)
2nd Return Points Won
75% (9/12)25% (3/12)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)0% (0/1)
Winners
203
Unforced Errors
1411
Net Points Won
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
76% (22/29)61% (23/38)
Return Points Won
39% (15/38)24% (7/29)
Total Points Won
55% (37/67)45% (30/67)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (5/5)80% (4/5)
Return Games Won
20% (1/5)0% (0/5)
Total Games Won
60% (6/10)40% (4/10)

Chances of winning


Hayato Matsuoka
30%
Bernard Tomic
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hayato Matsuoka's form might have worsened.
  • Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bernard Tomic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hayato Matsuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hayato Matsuoka - Bernard Tomic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (2.5)

    1.39
    (1.47)
    3.7%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 483. Tomic is ranked ATP: 182.
    • Matsuoka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tomic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tomic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    10.11.2025 Bernard Tomic - Li Tu 2:0
    19.10.2025 Fajing Sun - Bernard Tomic Canceled
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Bouzige M.2 : 0
    2Peliwo F.Dellavedova M.0 : 2
    3Wu Tung-Lin (SE)Polmans M. (Q)2 : 1
    4Langmo C. (RET.)Sweeny D. (6)0 : 0
    5Kubler J. (4)Marinkov P. (LL)2 : 1
    6Jones H. (WC)Gengel M.1 : 2
    7Sekulic P.Hudd E. (Q)2 : 1
    8Kumasaka T. (Alt)Bolt A. (7)0 : 2
    9Noguchi R. (8)Sach T. (WC)1 : 2
    10Ellis B.Hazawa S. (Q)2 : 1
    11Hewitt C. (WC)Jasika O.2 : 1
    12Matsuoka H. (Q)Tomic B. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    13McCabe J. (5)Moriya H.2 : 0
    14Singh K.Shah A.2 : 0
    15Delaney Ja. (Q)Overbeck C. E. (Q)0 : 2
    16Bicknell B. (LL)Hijikata R. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Dellavedova M.
    2Wu Tung-LinSweeny D. (6)
    3Kubler J. (4)Gengel M.
    4Sekulic P.Bolt A. (7)
    5Sach T. (WO.)Ellis B.
    6Hewitt C.Matsuoka H.1 : 2
    7McCabe J. (5)Singh K.2 : 0
    8Overbeck C. E.Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Sach T.Matsuoka H.
    4McCabe J. (5)Hijikata R. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2