Result
0:2
24/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Huzhou, hard - Semi-finals
Chances of winning
Hayato Matsuoka 59.9% | Chase Ferguson 40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+1%)
Hayato Matsuoka - Chase Ferguson Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↑ (1.56) |
|
2.37 ↑ (2.22) |
5.3% (9.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 663. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 868.
- Matsuoka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ferguson is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Matsuoka might have a minor edge in this game.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Hayato Matsuoka won against Chase Ferguson?
Hayato Matsuoka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chase Ferguson won against Hayato Matsuoka?
Chase Ferguson has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hayato Matsuoka - Chase Ferguson were as follows:
Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
Latest results of Chase Ferguson
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Castelnuovo L. (1) | Wu Kai An | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tamm K. | Jin Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Zheng Z. | Hongyu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Zhao L. | Matsuoka H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Imamura M. (3) | Ferguson C. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Du M. | Han X. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Liu H. | Chen Z. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Mingzhou Z. | Zhang T. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Trongcharoenchaikul W. (8) | Meng F. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Haliak M. | Tang S. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Dong Z. | Lomakin G. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Masabayashi T. | Lee K. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Xiao L. (7) | Huang R. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Sun Qian | Yang X. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Forcano I. | Chen X. D. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Wang X. | Santillan A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Castelnuovo L. (RET.) (1) | Tamm K. | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Zheng Z. (RET.) | Matsuoka H. (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Ferguson C. | Du M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Liu H. | Zhang T. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Meng F. | Haliak M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Lomakin G. | Lee K. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Xiao L. (7) | Sun Qian | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Chen X. D. | Santillan A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tamm K. | Matsuoka H. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ferguson C. | Liu H. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Haliak M. | Lee K. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Sun Qian (RET.) | Santillan A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Matsuoka H. (6) | Ferguson C. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Lee K. (RET.) (4) | Santillan A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferguson C. | Santillan A. (2) | 0 : 2 |