James McCabe vs Hayato Matsuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
26/03/2026 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
51%76%
1st serve points won
64% (23/36)71% (34/48)
2nd serve points won
47% (16/34)47% (7/15)
Break Points Saved
5/92/4
1st return points won
29% (14/48)42% (15/36)
2nd return points won
53% (8/15)53% (18/34)
Break Points Converted
2/44/9
Service Points Won
56% (39/70)65% (41/63)
Return Points Won
35% (22/63)44% (31/70)
Total Points Won
46% (61/133)54% (72/133)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
40
Service games won
64% (7/11)82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


James McCabe
62.1%
Hayato Matsuoka
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hayato Matsuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • James McCabe - Hayato Matsuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.57)

    2.46
    (2.25)
    7.1%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for James McCabe - Hayato Matsuoka?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Matsuoka will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • McCabe is ranked ATP: 246. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 376.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • McCabe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • McCabe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, McCabe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between James McCabe - Hayato Matsuoka were as follows:
    21.11.2025 Hayato Matsuoka - James McCabe 2:0
    Latest results of James McCabe
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Honda N. (WC)0 : 2
    2Broady L.Trotter J. K.2 : 0
    3Tu L. (Alt)Overbeck C. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    6Shimizu Y.Cui J. (Q)2 : 1
    7Samrej K. (Q)Jubb P.0 : 2
    8Wendelken H.Zhou Y. (5)2 : 1
    9Uchida K. (6)Sun F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shin S.Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Jones M.Uchiyama Y.1 : 2
    12Isomura K. (WC)Added D. (3)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (8)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H.Milic O. (NG)2 : 1
    15Ellis B. (PR)Kwon S.0 : 2
    16Tokuda R.Holmgren A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Honda N.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Tu L.Noguchi R. (7)1 : 2
    3Hsu Y. H. (4)Shimizu Y.1 : 2
    4Jubb P.Wendelken H.1 : 2
    5Sun F.Imamura M.2 : 1
    6Uchiyama Y.Added D. (3)2 : 0
    7McCabe J. (8)Matsuoka H.0 : 2
    8Kwon S.Holmgren A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Broady L.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Wendelken H.0 : 2
    3Sun F.Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H.Kwon S. (RET.)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Noguchi R. (7)Wendelken H.2 : 1
    2Uchiyama Y.Matsuoka H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Noguchi R. (7)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1