Hayato Matsuoka vs Marc Polmans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/11/2025 at 23:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
63%70%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (34/50)69% (48/70)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (15/30)43% (13/30)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
31% (22/70)32% (16/50)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (17/30)50% (15/30)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)44% (4/9)
Winners
2514
Unforced Errors
5435
Net Points Won
56% (5/9)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
61% (49/80)61% (61/100)
Return Points Won
39% (39/100)39% (31/80)
Total Points Won
49% (88/180)51% (92/180)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
41% (11/27)59% (16/27)

Chances of winning


Hayato Matsuoka
40.8%
Marc Polmans
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%

Hayato Matsuoka - Marc Polmans Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.31
(1.84)

1.69
(1.84)
2.6%
(8.7%)
What is the prediction for Hayato Matsuoka - Marc Polmans?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Matsuoka will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Polmans will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Matsuoka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 483. Polmans is ranked ATP: 421.
    • Matsuoka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Polmans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Polmans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
    Latest results of Marc Polmans
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Imamura M. (LL)2 : 0
    2Singh K.Isomura K.2 : 1
    3Moriya H.Langmo C.2 : 0
    4Delaney Ja. (WC)Noguchi R. (8)0 : 2
    5Tomic B. (3)Gengel M.2 : 0
    6Hewitt C. (WC)Sekulic P.0 : 2
    7Matsuda R. (Q)Shiraishi H.1 : 2
    8Bass F. (Q)Sweeny D. (7)1 : 2
    9Kubler J. (5)Tu L.2 : 0
    10Dellavedova M.Overbeck C. E. (Q)1 : 2
    11Marinkov P. (LL)Ellis B.2 : 1
    12Bouzige M.Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (6)Bicknell B. (Q)2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H. (SE)Polmans M.1 : 2
    15Sach T. (WC)Wu Tung-Lin (Q)2 : 1
    16Kumasaka T.Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Singh K.2 : 0
    2Moriya H.Noguchi R. (8)0 : 2
    3Tomic B. (3)Sekulic P.1 : 2
    4Shiraishi H.Sweeny D. (7)0 : 2
    5Kubler J. (RET.) (5)Overbeck C. E.0 : 1
    6Marinkov P.Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    7McCabe J. (6)Polmans M.2 : 0
    8Sach T.Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Noguchi R. (8)2 : 0
    2Sekulic P.Sweeny D. (7)0 : 2
    3Overbeck C. E.Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    4McCabe J. (6)Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Sweeny D. (7)1 : 2
    2Bolt A. (4)Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sweeny D. (7)Hijikata R. (2)1 : 2