Hayato Matsuoka vs Thanapet Chanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
81
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
62%63%
1st Serve Points Won
82% (31/38)65% (33/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (13/23)43% (13/30)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
35% (18/51)18% (7/38)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (17/30)43% (10/23)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)50% (1/2)
Winners
3313
Unforced Errors
3525
Net Points Won
83% (5/6)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
72% (44/61)57% (46/81)
Return Points Won
43% (35/81)28% (17/61)
Total Points Won
56% (79/142)44% (63/142)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Hayato Matsuoka
68.7%
Thanapet Chanta
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hayato Matsuoka's performance.
  • Thanapet Chanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thanapet Chanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hayato Matsuoka that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thanapet Chanta than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thanapet Chanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hayato Matsuoka - Thanapet Chanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.51)

    2.97
    (2.41)
    7.8%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 363. Chanta is ranked ATP: 823.
    • Recent performances by Matsuoka have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chanta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Matsuoka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
    Latest results of Thanapet Chanta
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Weber A. (LL)2 : 0
    2Samrej K. (WC)Shiraishi H. (Q)2 : 0
    3Jones M.Colson T. (Q)0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H. (Q)Sun F. (8)1 : 2
    5Pacheco Mendez R. (4)Bertrand R.1 : 2
    6Fomin S.Tokuda R.2 : 1
    7Shimizu Y.Ichikawa T. (Q)2 : 1
    8Gengel M.Martin A. (7)2 : 0
    9Uchida K. (5)Denolly C.2 : 1
    10Matsuda K. (Q)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    11Sornlaksup P. (WC)Wu Tung-Lin0 : 2
    12Shin S.Noguchi R. (3)0 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (6)Moriya H. (Q)2 : 1
    14Chung H.Bax F.1 : 2
    15Trongcharoenchaikul W. (WC)Santillan A.1 : 2
    16Dellavedova M.Giustino L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Samrej K.2 : 0
    2Colson T.Sun F. (8)2 : 1
    3Bertrand R.Fomin S.0 : 2
    4Shimizu Y.Gengel M.1 : 2
    5Uchida K. (5)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    6Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (3)1 : 2
    7Schwaerzler J. J. (6)Bax F.2 : 1
    8Santillan A.Giustino L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Colson T.2 : 1
    2Fomin S.Gengel M.0 : 2
    3Sharipov M.Noguchi R. (3)0 : 2
    4Schwaerzler J. J. (WO.) (6)Giustino L. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Gengel M.0 : 2
    2Noguchi R. (3)Schwaerzler J. J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Gengel M.Noguchi R. (3)0 : 2