HB Køge vs Roskilde – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division HB Køge - Roskilde
Result
4:3
04/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 29
  • Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.06
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
75% (262/350)84% (565/669)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.961.54
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1826
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
97
Passes
75% (262/350)84% (565/669)
Long passes
27% (17/62)53% (44/83)
Passes in final third
61% (48/79)72% (151/209)
Crosses
50% (4/8)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.96
Throw-ins
1327
Fouls
79
Tackles
64% (9/14)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
528
Interceptions
163
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.542.96
Goals prevented
-1.46-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Jakobsen N. , Jensen Tue C. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Taranis A. , Halse N. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 1, Jensen Tue C. , Jakobsen N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Culhaci G. , Al Naser M. ,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Baskaya S. , Halse N. (A),
  • 65', Baskaya S. , Arabaci R. ,
  • 65', Engqvist F. , Juhl M. ,
  • 67', Larsen G. , Chacon M. ,
  • 67', Sorensen M. , Gothler A. ,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Jensen Tue C. ,
  • 78', Uhd M. , Faester A. ,
  • 78', Skolnik O. , Halsgaard A. ,
  • 78', Jensen Tue C. , Alkhoudari B. ,
  • 80', Alkhoudari B. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 3, Arabaci R. , Jensen Juul O. (A),
  • 84', Rasmussen M. , Salah M. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 3, Jensen M. , Westergren M. (A),

Chances of winning


HB Køge
45.8%
Draw
25.7%
Roskilde
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 25.2% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 24.4% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Roskilde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • HB Køge - Roskilde Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.17)
    3.63
    (3.65)
    3.25
    (2.85)
    7.1%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for HB Køge - Roskilde?
  • Users Predictions: HB Køge will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 2.
    • Køge has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Roskilde has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Køge won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Roskilde were as follows:
    17.04.2025 Roskilde - HB Køge 1:1
    14.03.2025 HB Køge - Roskilde 2:1
    29.09.2024 Roskilde - HB Køge 0:2
    15.07.2023 HB Køge - Roskilde 0:1
    Latest results of HB Køge
    25.04.2025 Hillerød - HB Køge 3:0
    21.04.2025 HB Køge - Hobro 0:2
    17.04.2025 Roskilde - HB Køge 1:1
    13.04.2025 HB Køge - Hillerød 0:2
    04.04.2025 HB Køge - Vendsyssel 0:0
    Latest results of Roskilde
    26.04.2025 Roskilde - Vendsyssel 2:1
    20.04.2025 Hillerød - Roskilde 5:2
    17.04.2025 Roskilde - HB Køge 1:1
    12.04.2025 Vendsyssel - Roskilde 0:0
    04.04.2025 Roskilde - B.93 Copenhagen 2:3
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Koge22004:136
    2Lyngby21103:124
    3Hillerod21104:314
    4Horsens21102:114
    5Kolding IF21012:203
    6Esbjerg21012:3-13
    7B.9320202:202
    8Hvidovre IF20112:3-11
    9Aalborg20112:3-11
    10Aarhus Fremad20111:2-11
    11Middelfart10011:2-10
    12Hobro10010:2-20

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