St. Mirren vs Hearts – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish League Cup St. Mirren - Hearts
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


St. Mirren
29.9%
Draw
27.7%
Hearts
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 27.9% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 27.4% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • St. Mirren - Hearts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.92)
    3.31
    (3.33)
    2.18
    (2.31)
    8.2%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 1.
    • St. Mirren is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hearts is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hearts could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Hearts were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Hearts - St. Mirren 3:1
    10.02.2025 St. Mirren - Hearts 1:2
    19.10.2024 Hearts - St. Mirren 4:0
    21.09.2024 St. Mirren - Hearts 2:1
    15.05.2024 St. Mirren - Hearts 2:2
    Latest results of St. Mirren
    09.08.2025 St. Mirren - Motherwell 0:0
    03.08.2025 Celtic - St. Mirren 1:0
    27.07.2025 St. Mirren - Ayr United 2:1
    Latest results of Hearts
    10.08.2025 Dundee United - Hearts 2:3
    04.08.2025 Hearts - Aberdeen 2:0
    26.07.2025 Hearts - Sunderland 3:0
    23.07.2025 Hearts - Dumbarton 4:0
    19.07.2025 Stirling Albion - Hearts 0:4
    Scottish League Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Falkirk4310014:111
    2Cove Rangers420115:27
    3Queen's Park420029:66
    4Spartans420024:66
    5Brechin400040:170


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Partick Thistle4400011:212
    2Ross County4201111:47
    3Stranraer411112:36
    4Queen of South410034:43
    5Edinburgh City401031:162


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Alloa440007:312
    2Airdrieonians430018:49
    3Dundee FC420028:36
    4Montrose410036:103
    5Bonnyrigg Rose400042:110


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Mirren4301012:410
    2Ayr4300114:39
    3Arbroath411026:55
    4Forfar Athletic411023:65
    5Annan400134:211


    Group E
    PlWWLLPts
    1Hearts4400016:112
    2Dunfermline430019:59
    3Dumbarton420022:86
    4Hamilton410033:73
    5Stirling400040:90


    Group F
    PlWWLLPts
    1St Johnstone4400015:212
    2Raith4200213:96
    3Inverness420029:86
    4East Kilbride4200211:126
    5Elgin City400042:190


    Group G
    PlWWLLPts
    1Motherwell431008:311
    2Morton4300110:59
    3Clyde411116:86
    4Stenhousemuir410123:64
    5Peterhead400044:90


    Group H
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kilmarnock430107:010
    2Livingston4300110:29
    3East Fife420025:66
    4Kelty Hearts411024:75
    5Brora Rangers400040:110


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ayr4300114:39
    2Livingston4300110:29
    3Morton4300110:59
    4Dunfermline430019:59
    5Airdrieonians430018:49
    6Ross County4201111:47
    7Cove Rangers420115:27
    8Raith4200213:96

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