Result
2:2
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 10
- Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (214/305) | 76% (240/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (214/305) | 76% (240/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (26/78) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (68/121) | 76% (107/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, N'Lundulu D. ⚽, George S. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Shankland L. ⚽,
- 39', Freckleton M. 🟨,
- 39', Halkett C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 2 - 1, Freckleton M. ⚽,
- 57', Phillips K. 🟨,
- 59', Milne H. 🟨,
- 65', Kingsley S. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Braga C. ⚽,
- 75', Baccus K. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
- 75', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Ayunga J. ↑,
- 85', Braga C. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
- 85', McMenamin C. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
24.9% | Draw
26.3% | Hearts
48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
St. Mirren - Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(3.44) |
3.63 ↑
(3.57) |
1.95 ↓
(2.05) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Hearts?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hearts (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hearts will win
(29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2.
- St. Mirren has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hearts is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Hearts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hearts is the team to beat.
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Gogic A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Hearts: Fulton R.
(Groin Injury)
Kent F.
(Knee Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Inactive)
Mandron M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Borchgrevink C.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Hearts?
St. Mirren has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against St. Mirren?
Hearts has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Hearts were as follows:
16.08.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
2:1
26.02.2025
Hearts
-
St. Mirren
3:1
10.02.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
1:2
19.10.2024
Hearts
-
St. Mirren
4:0
21.09.2024
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
2:1
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28:9 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Celtic | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Rangers | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 15 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | St. Mirren | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
