Result
1:0
03/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Thailand | SPOTV |
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, St Mirren TV |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (242/324) | 72% (204/285) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (242/324) | 72% (204/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (38/87) | 43% (33/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (77/114) | 49% (49/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Halkett C. 🟥,
- 38', Kyziridis A. ↓, Kent F. ↑,
- 39', Kabore P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', Devaney J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
- 71', Richardson J. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
- 76', King R. 🟨,
- 77', Mandron M. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
- 79', Kabore P. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
- 79', Baningime B. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
- 86', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Freckleton M. ⚽, John D. (A),
- 90+3', Leonard M. ↓, Ageu ↑,
- 90+3', Steinwender M. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
22.3% | Draw
29.4% | Hearts
48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hearts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
St. Mirren - Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.25 ↓
(4.92) |
3.21 ↓
(3.64) |
1.96 ↑
(1.72) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Hearts?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Hearts (1.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hearts will win
(33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hearts will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. St. Mirren (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Hearts (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 1.
- St. Mirren has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hearts is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Hearts is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Tendon Injury)
Baccus K.
(Hamstring Injury)
O'Hara M.
(Ankle Injury)
Young J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Hearts: Borchgrevink C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Devlin C.
(Ankle Injury)
Kingsley S.
(Groin Injury)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Shankland L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Mirren: Tanser S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Hearts?
St. Mirren has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against St. Mirren?
Hearts has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Hearts were as follows:
14.01.2026
Hearts
-
St. Mirren
2:0
29.10.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
2:2
16.08.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
2:1
26.02.2025
Hearts
-
St. Mirren
3:1
10.02.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
1:2
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
