Result
3:1
26/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SCOTLAND: Premiership - Round 28
- Referee: Anderson E. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (288/394) | 65% (209/324) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 65% (89/136) | 47% (52/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 40% (8/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 31% (5/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 52 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Mandron M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Ayunga J. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 46', Alebiosu R. ↓, Bwomono E. ↑,
- 52', Boyd-Munce C. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽,
- 63', 2 - 1, Nieuwenhof C. ⚽, Kabangu E. (A),
- 66', Kartum S. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
- 66', Nieuwenhof C. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
- 67', Mandron M. 🟨,
- 74', Phillips K. 🟨,
- 77', Phillips K. ↓, Kiltie G. ↑,
- 80', O'Hara M. 🟨,
- 82', Kabangu E. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
- 82', Wilson J. ↓, Vargas K. ↑,
- 90', Taylor R. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Vargas K. ⚽, Grant J. (A),
Chances of winning
Hearts
52.6% | Draw
25.9% | St. Mirren
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Hearts - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.76) |
3.65 ↓
(3.75) |
4.47 ↑
(4.32) |
5.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hearts - St. Mirren?
Users Predictions:
Hearts will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hearts won 3.
- Hearts is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches St. Mirren is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- St. Mirren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Hearts is a favorite.
- There will not play in Hearts: Dhanda Y.
(Injury)
Halkett C.
(Injury)
Kent F.
(Muscle Injury)
Kingsley S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in St. Mirren: McMenamin C.
(Injury)
Mooney E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Devlin C.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Hearts won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:21 (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hearts won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:7 (average 2.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against St. Mirren?
Hearts has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Hearts?
St. Mirren has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - St. Mirren were as follows:
10.02.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
1:2
19.10.2024
Hearts
-
St. Mirren
4:0
21.09.2024
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
2:1
15.05.2024
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
2:2
06.04.2024
St. Mirren
-
Hearts
1:2
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | St. Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dundee FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
