Jessika Ponchet vs Heather Watson: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis Birmingham Challenger Women Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson
Result
2:1
04/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finals
Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
188
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
61%56%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (52/66)70% (43/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (21/42)55% (26/47)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
30% (18/61)23% (15/66)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (21/47)50% (21/42)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)20% (2/10)
Service Points Won
68% (73/108)64% (69/107)
Return Points Won
36% (38/107)32% (35/108)
Total Points Won
52% (111/215)48% (104/215)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
88% (15/17)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)12% (2/17)
Total Games Won
53% (18/34)47% (16/34)

Chances of winning


Jessika Ponchet
36.6%
Heather Watson
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 60.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessika Ponchet's form might have worsened.
  • Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heather Watson's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.25)

    1.48
    (1.62)
    6.7%
    (6.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ponchet is ranked WTA: 140. Watson is ranked WTA: 163.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Watson will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponchet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson were as follows:
    01.12.2023 Heather Watson - Jessika Ponchet Watson H. walkover
    Latest results of Jessika Ponchet
    Latest results of Heather Watson
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Parks A. (1)Xu M. (WC)0 : 2
    2Andreeva E.Kawa K.0 : 2
    3Ponchet J.Diatchenko V. (Q)2 : 0
    4Watson H. (WC)Gadecki O. (8)2 : 0
    5Eala A. (3)Fruhvirtova L.1 : 2
    6Fett J.Burrage J. (WC)0 : 2
    7Banks A. (WC)Stefanini L.0 : 2
    8Ryser V. (Q)Maria T. (7)2 : 0
    9Golubic V. (6)Tan H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Snigur D.Masarova R.1 : 2
    11Montgomery R.Gibson T.2 : 1
    12Cabrera L. (Q)Sonmez Z. (4)0 : 2
    13Minnen G. (5)Hartono A. (LL)2 : 0
    14Marino R.Martincova T. (Q)1 : 2
    15Ishii S. (Q)Wei S. (LL)0 : 2
    16Inglis M.Birrell K. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Xu M.Kawa K.2 : 1
    2Ponchet J.Watson H.2 : 1
    3Fruhvirtova L.Burrage J.2 : 0
    4Stefanini L.Ryser V.2 : 0
    5Golubic V. (6)Masarova R.0 : 2
    6Montgomery R.Sonmez Z. (4)2 : 1
    7Minnen G. (5)Martincova T.2 : 1
    8Wei S.Birrell K. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Xu M.Ponchet J.0 : 2
    2Fruhvirtova L.Stefanini L.2 : 0
    3Masarova R.Montgomery R. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Minnen G. (5)Birrell K. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ponchet J.Fruhvirtova L.1 : 2
    2Masarova R.Minnen G. (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1Fruhvirtova L.Minnen G. (5)0 : 2
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