Result
2:1
04/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (52/66) | 70% (43/61) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 55% (26/47) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (18/61) | 23% (15/66) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 50% (21/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (73/108) | 64% (69/107) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (38/107) | 32% (35/108) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (111/215) | 48% (104/215) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 82% (14/17) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 12% (2/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 47% (16/34) |
Chances of winning
Jessika Ponchet
36.6% | Heather Watson
63.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessika Ponchet's form might have worsened.Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heather Watson's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.25) |
|
1.48 ↓
(1.62) |
6.7%
(6.2%) | |
Preview Facts
- Ponchet is ranked WTA: 140. Watson is ranked WTA: 163.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Watson will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponchet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jessika Ponchet won against Heather Watson?
Jessika Ponchet has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heather Watson won against Jessika Ponchet?
Heather Watson has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson were as follows:
01.12.2023
Heather Watson
-
Jessika Ponchet
Watson H. walkover
Latest results of Jessika Ponchet
Latest results of Heather Watson
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Parks A. (1) | Xu M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Andreeva E. | Kawa K. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ponchet J. | Diatchenko V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Watson H. (WC) | Gadecki O. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Eala A. (3) | Fruhvirtova L. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Fett J. | Burrage J. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Banks A. (WC) | Stefanini L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ryser V. (Q) | Maria T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Golubic V. (6) | Tan H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Snigur D. | Masarova R. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Montgomery R. | Gibson T. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Cabrera L. (Q) | Sonmez Z. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Minnen G. (5) | Hartono A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Marino R. | Martincova T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Ishii S. (Q) | Wei S. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Inglis M. | Birrell K. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Xu M. | Kawa K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ponchet J. | Watson H. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fruhvirtova L. | Burrage J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Stefanini L. | Ryser V. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Golubic V. (6) | Masarova R. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Montgomery R. | Sonmez Z. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Minnen G. (5) | Martincova T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Wei S. | Birrell K. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Xu M. | Ponchet J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Fruhvirtova L. | Stefanini L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Masarova R. | Montgomery R. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Minnen G. (5) | Birrell K. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ponchet J. | Fruhvirtova L. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Masarova R. | Minnen G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Fruhvirtova L. | Minnen G. (5) | 0 : 2 |
