Heather Watson vs Lia Karatancheva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
103
1st serve percentage
53%61%
1st serve points won
71% (40/56)62% (41/66)
2nd serve points won
46% (23/50)44% (19/43)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)55% (6/11)
1st return points won
39% (26/66)30% (17/56)
2nd return points won
56% (24/43)54% (27/50)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
59% (63/106)56% (59/106)
Return Points Won
44% (47/106)41% (43/106)
Total Points Won
52% (110/212)48% (102/212)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
75% (12/16)67% (10/15)
Return games won
33% (5/15)25% (4/16)
Total games won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Heather Watson
65.5%
Lia Karatancheva
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heather Watson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Heather Watson - Lia Karatancheva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.42)

    2.7
    (2.73)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Watson is ranked WTA: 278. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 297.
    • Karatancheva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Watson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Watson is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Heather Watson
    Latest results of Lia Karatancheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)
    11Arango E.Potapova A.
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Li A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Stakusic M.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Bouzkova M. (4)
    7TBD #13Jimenez Kasintseva V.
    8TBD #15Navarro E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2