Hebar Pazardzhik vs Botev Vratsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 36
  • Referee: Dimitrov D. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
53
Corner Kicks
14
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1319
Throw-ins
2234
Fouls
1711
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Dunnwald-Turan K. , Guermouche Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Dunnwald-Turan K. 🟨,
  • 57', Boukassi M. , Traore B. ,
  • 57', Papazov M. , Marinov M. ,
  • 57', Angelov Y. , Petrovic M. ,
  • 59', Rusinov I. 🟨,
  • 68', Guermouche Y. 🟨,
  • 70', Rusinov I. , Vukovic D. ,
  • 74', Bachev M. S. , Stoyanov A. ,
  • 78', Dichev M. 🟨,
  • 82', Dichev M. , Bachev P. ,
  • 85', N'Zi J. , Cavar B. ,
  • 86', Markelo N. 🟨,
  • 86', Markelo N. , Ushagelov T. ,
  • 90+9', Bachev P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hebar Pazardzhik
12.8%
Draw
21.5%
Botev Vratsa
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 24% 54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 23.4% 56.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.
  • Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Vratsa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Vratsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.39
    (4.42)
    4.27
    (3.87)
    1.42
    (1.69)
    7.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1 - Botev Vratsa (1.65) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 - Hebar (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Hebar (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Hebar (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Hebar (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Hebar (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Hebar (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Hebar (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Hebar (5.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Hebar (2.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Hebar (5.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Botev Vratsa will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botev Vratsa will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Hebar (votes: 12 - 36.4%). Botev Vratsa (votes: 21 - 63.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 0.
    • Hebar has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Botev Vratsa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Botev Vratsa is the obvious favorite.
    • There are questionable in Hebar: Makni N. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik 1:0
    06.10.2024 Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa 1:1
    13.05.2024 Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik 1:0
    30.03.2024 Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik 3:2
    27.09.2023 Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa 1:1
    Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
    Latest results of Botev Vratsa
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 32244468:234576
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia32195852:331962
    3Ludogorets32179658:233560
    4CSKA Sofia32178745:261959

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