Hebar Pazardzhik vs Krumovgrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad
Result
1:3
01/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 32
  • Referee: Trenchev S. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
31
Corner Kicks
72
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1212
Throw-ins
2912
Fouls
911
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Itu C. , Keita I. (A),
  • 19', Keita I. 🟨,
  • 20', Fall M. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Itu C. , Dost E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ushagelov T. , Dunnwald-Turan K. ,
  • 60', Vukovic D. , Kondrakov D. ,
  • 63', Veiga T. , Tartov G. ,
  • 70', Petrovic M. , Nassar Chouiter S. ,
  • 75', Penchev B. , Drinov N. ,
  • 75', N'Zi J. , Ganev C. ,
  • 75', Dost E. , Ivanov H. ,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Guinari P. , Keita I. (A),
  • 85', Guermouche Y. 🟨,
  • 87', Itu C. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Dunnwald-Turan K. , Tsonkov S. (A),
  • 90+2', Itu C. , Milev N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hebar Pazardzhik
40.9%
Draw
30%
Krumovgrad
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 30.9% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 30.1% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hebar Pazardzhik's performance.
  • Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krumovgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hebar Pazardzhik that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krumovgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.96)
    3.12
    (3.01)
    3.2
    (2.47)
    7.4%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hebar will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Krumovgrad will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hebar: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hebar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Krumovgrad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).
    • Hebar will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Krumovgrad: Alonso I. (Red Card) Marin L. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Krumovgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik 1:0
    26.10.2024 Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad 0:0
    03.04.2024 Krumovgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik 3:2
    02.10.2023 Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad 0:0
    Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
    Latest results of Krumovgrad
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ludogorets541011:11013
    2Levski Sofia541011:2913
    3Cherno More532010:3711
    4Lok. Plovdiv53205:2311
    5Lok. Sofia62406:2410
    6CSKA 1948 Sofia53117:5210
    7Dobrudzha52036:7-16
    8Arda41216:245
    9Beroe51225:9-45
    10Botev Vratsa50413:4-14
    11Spartak Varna60424:7-34
    12Botev Plovdiv51134:10-64
    13CSKA Sofia40312:3-13
    14Septemvri Sofia51046:13-73
    15Montana50232:11-92
    16Slavia Sofia50144:11-71

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