Result
1:3
01/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 32
- Referee: Trenchev S. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Itu C. ⚽, Keita I. (A),
- 19', Keita I. 🟨,
- 20', Fall M. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 2, Itu C. ⚽, Dost E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ushagelov T. ↓, Dunnwald-Turan K. ↑,
- 60', Vukovic D. ↓, Kondrakov D. ↑,
- 63', Veiga T. ↓, Tartov G. ↑,
- 70', Petrovic M. ↓, Nassar Chouiter S. ↑,
- 75', Penchev B. ↓, Drinov N. ↑,
- 75', N'Zi J. ↓, Ganev C. ↑,
- 75', Dost E. ↓, Ivanov H. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 3, Guinari P. ⚽, Keita I. (A),
- 85', Guermouche Y. 🟨,
- 87', Itu C. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 3, Dunnwald-Turan K. ⚽, Tsonkov S. (A),
- 90+2', Itu C. ↓, Milev N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hebar Pazardzhik
40.9% | Draw
30% | Krumovgrad
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hebar Pazardzhik's performance.Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krumovgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hebar Pazardzhik that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krumovgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.96) |
3.12 ↑
(3.01) |
3.2 ↑
(2.47) |
7.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Hebar will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Krumovgrad will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hebar: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Krumovgrad (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Hebar (1.66) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hebar (votes: 2 - 40%). Krumovgrad (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Hebar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Krumovgrad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).
- Hebar will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Krumovgrad: Alonso I.
(Red Card)
Marin L.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Hebar Pazardzhik won against Krumovgrad?
Hebar Pazardzhik has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krumovgrad won against Hebar Pazardzhik?
Krumovgrad has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad were as follows:
06.04.2025
Krumovgrad
-
Hebar Pazardzhik
1:0
26.10.2024
Hebar Pazardzhik
-
Krumovgrad
0:0
03.04.2024
Krumovgrad
-
Hebar Pazardzhik
3:2
02.10.2023
Hebar Pazardzhik
-
Krumovgrad
0:0
Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
Latest results of Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 60:19 | 41 | 65 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ✔ | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 54:19 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 49 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 32:19 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 28:32 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Arda | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha ✔ | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 21:37 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna ✔ | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24:45 | -21 | 23 |
| 14 | Beroe ✔ | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia ✔ | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 23:57 | -34 | 21 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 14:42 | -28 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
