Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 34
- Referee: Markov M. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Nikolaev N. ⚽, Penchev B. (A),
- 31', Iliev D. (Pen),
- 35', Segura J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 51', Perea J. ↓, Bizjak L. ↑,
- 51', Abreu D. ↓, Ali E. ↑,
- 53', Rusinov I. ↓, Dunnwald-Turan K. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Ali E. ⚽,
- 72', 1 - 2, Iliev D. ⚽, Bizjak L. (A),
- 74', Nikolaev N. ↓, Markelo N. ↑,
- 74', Vukovic D. ↓, Ushagelov T. ↑,
- 82', Cavar B. ↓, Kondrakov D. ↑,
- 83', N'Zi J. ↓, Metanov N. ↑,
- 86', Tsonkov S. 🟨,
- 87', Lamy J. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
- 90', Ivanov I. ↓, Haydarov M. ↑,
- 90', Iliev D. ↓, Pavlov T. ↑,
- 90+3', Rosa M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hebar Pazardzhik
13.5% | Draw
21.1% | Lokomotiv Plovdiv
65.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-17%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.97 ↑
(4.15) |
4.42 ↑
(3.66) |
1.45 ↓
(1.79) |
6.1%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Hebar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is a strong favorite.
- There are questionable in Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Peshov K.
(Knee Injury)
Umarbaev P.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hebar Pazardzhik won against Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Hebar Pazardzhik has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Plovdiv won against Hebar Pazardzhik?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv were as follows:
03.04.2025
Hebar Pazardzhik
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0:0
13.09.2024
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Hebar Pazardzhik
3:3
24.02.2024
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Hebar Pazardzhik
1:2
25.08.2023
Hebar Pazardzhik
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3:4
14.01.2023
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Hebar Pazardzhik
0:1
Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Cherno More | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Lok. Plovdiv | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Dobrudzha | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Beroe | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Slavia Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Botev Vratsa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Botev Plovdiv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Arda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Montana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )
Parva liga (Relegation Group: )
