Result
0:3
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Watson N. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, Sheaf M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Parker S. 🟥,
- 64', 0 - 3, Rose A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Ilkeston 28.4% | Draw 26.7% | Hednesford Town 44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Ilkeston - Hednesford Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.23 ↓ (3.25) |
3.44 ↓ (3.47) |
2.04 ↑ (2.02) |
9.1% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ilkeston - Hednesford Town?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hednesford (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 1.
- Ilkeston has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hednesford is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ilkeston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hednesford has had a series of home games.
- Hednesford might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Hednesford will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Hednesford Town?
Ilkeston has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hednesford Town won against Ilkeston?
Hednesford Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilkeston - Hednesford Town were as follows:
09.09.2025
Hednesford Town
-
Ilkeston
2:1
08.04.2023
Ilkeston
-
Hednesford Town
4:1
28.02.2023
Hednesford Town
-
Ilkeston
2:2
Latest results of Ilkeston
Latest results of Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 73 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | FC United | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 62:36 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Stockton | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 11 | 58 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:44 | 9 | 58 |
| 8 | Cleethorpes | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 56:46 | 10 | 54 |
| 9 | Leek | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:50 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 51 |
| 11 | Bamber Bridge | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51:48 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Ilkeston | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 49:52 | -3 | 48 |
| 13 | Warrington | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41:58 | -17 | 48 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 45:55 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Rushall | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 47:59 | -12 | 44 |
| 16 | Whitby | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Hyde | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 54:62 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Workington | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Morpeth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 36:53 | -17 | 39 |
| 20 | Prescot | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 38:63 | -25 | 35 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation