Ilkeston vs Hednesford Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Premier Division - Round 22

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Watson N. ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Sheaf M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Parker S. 🟥,
  • 64', 0 - 3, Rose A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Ilkeston
28.4%
Draw
26.7%
Hednesford Town
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 26.4% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 25.3% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Ilkeston - Hednesford Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.25)
    3.44
    (3.47)
    2.04
    (2.02)
    9.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ilkeston - Hednesford Town?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hednesford (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 1.
    • Ilkeston has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hednesford is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ilkeston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hednesford has had a series of home games.
    • Hednesford might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Hednesford will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilkeston - Hednesford Town were as follows:
    09.09.2025 Hednesford Town - Ilkeston 2:1
    08.04.2023 Ilkeston - Hednesford Town 4:1
    28.02.2023 Hednesford Town - Ilkeston 2:2
    Latest results of Ilkeston
    Latest results of Hednesford Town
    English NPL Premier Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hebburn Town382110771:403173
    2Hednesford382110758:322673
    3FC United37218862:362671
    4Warrington Rylands391813858:401867
    5Gainsborough3816111148:40859
    6Stockton3717101058:471158
    7Lancaster3816101253:44958
    8Cleethorpes3814121256:461054
    9Leek381571646:50-452
    10Ashton Utd381491543:50-751
    11Bamber Bridge381481651:48350
    12Ilkeston381461849:52-348
    13Warrington3812121441:58-1748
    14Guiseley391381845:55-1047
    15Rushall3811111647:59-1244
    16Whitby3810121641:52-1142
    17Hyde389141554:62-841
    18Workington389131640:55-1540
    19Morpeth381162136:53-1739
    20Prescot387151636:49-1336
    21Stocksbridge388111938:63-2535

          Promotion ~ National League North
          Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
          Relegation