Result
0:1
24/06/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 17
- Referee: Paulauskas V. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
 Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Lukasevic K. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Upstas K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mihajlovic N. ↓, Hadji K. ↑,
- 56', Verbickas O. ↓, Setkus M. ↑,
- 59', Lukasevic K. ↓, Kendysh Y. ↑,
- 59', Antal L. ↓, Matyzonok P. ↑,
- 64', Hadji K. ↓, Chol M. ↑,
- 72', Popescu P. ↓, Kazlauskas D. ↑,
- 72', Upstas K. ↓, Shchedryi A. ↑,
- 72', Njoya A. ↓, Yusuf R. ↑,
- 84', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Kausinis E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Žalgiris
49.2% | Draw
26.3% | Hegelmann Litauen
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Žalgiris's performance.Hegelmann Litauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hegelmann Litauen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Žalgiris that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hegelmann Litauen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.18) |
3.49 ↑
(3.32) |
3.75 ↑
(2.96) |
8.8%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Hegelmann will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 2 - 50%). Hegelmann (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 0.
- Recent performances by Žalgiris have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hegelmann is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Žalgiris is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Žalgiris won against Hegelmann Litauen?
Žalgiris has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hegelmann Litauen won against Žalgiris?
Hegelmann Litauen has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen were as follows:
20.04.2025
Hegelmann Litauen
-
Žalgiris
2:1
30.01.2025
Žalgiris
-
Hegelmann Litauen
2:3
14.09.2024
Žalgiris
-
Hegelmann Litauen
1:1
30.06.2024
Hegelmann Litauen
-
Žalgiris
3:1
12.05.2024
Hegelmann Litauen
-
Žalgiris
0:0
Latest results of Žalgiris
Latest results of Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
