Result
2:2
24/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 26
- Referee: Simenas D. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Njoya A. ⚽, Leo Ribeiro (A),
- 17', Isaac B. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Leo Ribeiro ⚽, Duke C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Chol M. ↓, Antal L. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Verbickas O. ⚽, Antal L. (A),
- 65', Shchedryi A. ↓, Kazlauskas D. ↑,
- 70', Duke C. ↓, Kausinis E. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Lukasevic K. ⚽, Antal L. (A),
- 78', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Freire W. ↑,
- 81', Lukasevic K. ↓, Matyzonok P. ↑,
- 85', Radinovic S. 🟨,
- 87', Mihajlovic N. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hegelmann Litauen
49.5% | Draw
25.4% | Žalgiris
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hegelmann Litauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hegelmann Litauen's performance.Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Žalgiris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hegelmann Litauen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Žalgiris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.33) |
3.62 ↑
(3.24) |
3.66 ↑
(2.69) |
9%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 4.
- Hegelmann is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Žalgiris has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Žalgiris has had a series of home games.
- Hegelmann will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hegelmann won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hegelmann Litauen won against Žalgiris?
Hegelmann Litauen has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Žalgiris won against Hegelmann Litauen?
Žalgiris has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris were as follows:
24.06.2025
Žalgiris
-
Hegelmann Litauen
0:1
20.04.2025
Hegelmann Litauen
-
Žalgiris
2:1
30.01.2025
Žalgiris
-
Hegelmann Litauen
2:3
14.09.2024
Žalgiris
-
Hegelmann Litauen
1:1
30.06.2024
Hegelmann Litauen
-
Žalgiris
3:1
Latest results of Hegelmann Litauen
Latest results of Žalgiris
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 49:16 | 33 | 57 |
| 2 | Hegelmann | 27 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 50 |
| 3 | Suduva | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 40 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 25:29 | -4 | 37 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 38:35 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Banga | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 28:57 | -29 | 17 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
