Paphos vs Heidenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Paphos - Heidenheim
Result
0:1
24/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
cyprusCyprusCytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 11
germanyGermanyRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 13
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.10
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
159
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
52
Free Kicks
1315
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
12
Throw-ins
2522
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Fouls
1513
Yellow Cards
11
Total Passes
500304
Completed Passes
428217
Crosses Completed
112
Interceptions
914

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Mainka P. , Conteh S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dorsch N. 🟨,
  • 53', Honsak M. , Fohrenbach J. ,
  • 54', Dorsch N. , Schoppner J. ,
  • 55', Luckassen D. 🟨,
  • 61', Jaja , Quina D. ,
  • 71', Dragomir V. , Pepe ,
  • 71', Jairo , Anderson Silva ,
  • 78', Kerber L. , Maloney L. ,
  • 79', Silva J. , Pileas K. ,
  • 79', Correia J. , Leo Natel ,
  • 86', Conteh S. , Traore O. H. ,
  • 86', Kaufmann M. , Pieringer M. ,

Chances of winning


Paphos
32.1%
Draw
27.7%
Heidenheim
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 25.9% 50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 23.9% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paphos's performance.
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paphos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paphos - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (4)
    3.43
    (3.6)
    2.35
    (1.83)
    5.8%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Paphos - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 36.2%76.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.
    • Paphos is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Heidenheim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Niehues J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Honsak M. (Knock) Keller T. (Knee Injury) Wanner P. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Paphos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - Heidenheim were as follows:
    01.08.2023 Heidenheim - Paphos 1:1
    Latest results of Paphos
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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