Result
2:2
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Edser T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 2 - 0, Chapman B. ⚽,
- 84', 2 - 1, Noel-Williams I. ⚽,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ebbsfleet United
45.6% | Draw
28.9% | Hemel Hempstead Town
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.14) |
3.18 ↓
(3.37) |
3.61 ↑
(3.18) |
8.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Hemel Hempstead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ebbsfleet could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ebbsfleet United won against Hemel Hempstead Town?
Ebbsfleet United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hemel Hempstead Town won against Ebbsfleet United?
Hemel Hempstead Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town were as follows:
02.09.2025
Hemel Hempstead Town
-
Ebbsfleet United
0:0
04.03.2023
Ebbsfleet United
-
Hemel Hempstead Town
0:0
29.10.2022
Hemel Hempstead Town
-
Ebbsfleet United
1:1
Latest results of Ebbsfleet United
Latest results of Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Worthing | 43 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 89:48 | 41 | 78 |
| 2 | Dorking | 43 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 75:55 | 20 | 78 |
| 3 | Torquay | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 79:58 | 21 | 74 |
| 4 | Ebbsfleet | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 69:51 | 18 | 74 |
| 5 | Hornchurch | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 74:60 | 14 | 73 |
| 6 | Maidenhead | 43 | 21 | 9 | 13 | 64:40 | 24 | 72 |
| 7 | Hemel Hempstead | 43 | 21 | 9 | 13 | 49:45 | 4 | 72 |
| 8 | Chesham | 43 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 64:47 | 17 | 71 |
| 9 | Maidstone | 43 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 67:47 | 20 | 70 |
| 10 | Weston-super-Mare | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 58:47 | 11 | 70 |
| 11 | Chelmsford | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 66:55 | 11 | 68 |
| 12 | Dag & Red | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 57:52 | 5 | 63 |
| 13 | AFC Totton | 42 | 17 | 6 | 19 | 52:69 | -17 | 57 |
| 14 | Horsham FC | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 55 |
| 15 | Tonbridge | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 56:60 | -4 | 54 |
| 16 | Slough | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 63:75 | -12 | 51 |
| 17 | Dover | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 57:69 | -12 | 49 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 54:67 | -13 | 49 |
| 19 | Salisbury | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 45:60 | -15 | 49 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 62:84 | -22 | 47 |
| 21 | Chippenham | 43 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 49:73 | -24 | 41 |
| 22 | Enfield Town ✔ | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 50:78 | -28 | 37 |
| 23 | Bath | 42 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 40:69 | -29 | 37 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Boro ✔ | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 53:83 | -30 | 33 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Enfield Town is Relegated to
Eastbourne Boro is Relegated to
