Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Edser T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Chapman B. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Noel-Williams I. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Ebbsfleet United
45.6%
Draw
28.9%
Hemel Hempstead Town
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 27.5% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.14)
    3.18
    (3.37)
    3.61
    (3.18)
    8.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Hemel Hempstead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ebbsfleet could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town were as follows:
    02.09.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United 0:0
    04.03.2023 Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town 0:0
    29.10.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Bye
    2Hemel Hempstead (5)Weston-super-Mare (6)1 : 2
    3Torquay (3)Bye
    4Dorking (4)Maidenhead (7)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Weston-super-Mare (6)
    2Torquay (3)Dorking (4)