Result
1:1
29/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/409) | 69% (218/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/409) | 69% (218/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (98/140) | 50% (54/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43:37, Lu Yongtao 🟨,
- 45:03, 1 - 0, Lin Chuangyi ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 45:00, Saric E. ↓, Che Shiwei ↑,
- 48:48, Jin Yonghao 🟨,
- 55:26, Lin Chuangyi ↓, Xiao Kun ↑,
- 56:47, Lu Yongtao ↓, Liu Bin ↑,
- 57:05, Zhong Yihao ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
- 59:24, 1 - 1, Liu Xinyu ⚽, Bruno Nazario (A),
- 67:56, Jin Yonghao ↓, Zhang Chi ↑,
- 68:00, Wei Suowei ↓, Song Long ↑,
- 70:47, Che Shiwei 🟨,
- 74:50, Sun Zheng'ao ↓, Li Hailong ↑,
- 84:30, Huang Ruifeng 🟨,
- 90:01, Acheampong F. ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
- 90:01, Bruno Nazario ↓, Yang Kuo ↑,
- 90:20, Song Long 🟨,
- 90:46, Shinar Yeljan 🟨,
- 90:59, Huang Ruifeng ↓, Gerbig O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Hainiu
27% | Draw
23.5% | Henan Songshan Longmen
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Hainiu's form might have worsened.Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henan Songshan Longmen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henan Songshan Longmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(2.58) |
3.95 ↑
(3.78) |
2.01 ↓
(2.43) |
4.4%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Henan Songshan Longmen will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Henan Songshan Longmen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Qingdao Hainiu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Henan Jianye could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Liu Junshuai
(Yellow Cards)
Saric E.
(Inactive)
Sun Zheng'ao
(Injury)
Wellington Silva
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Song Wenjie
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Henan Jianye: Yin Hongbo
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Hainiu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Henan Songshan Longmen?
Qingdao Hainiu has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Henan Songshan Longmen won against Qingdao Hainiu?
Henan Songshan Longmen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen were as follows:
20.04.2025
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Qingdao Hainiu
3:1
10.08.2024
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
0:2
21.04.2024
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Qingdao Hainiu
1:0
17.07.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
2:0
21.04.2023
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Qingdao Hainiu
0:0
Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
Latest results of Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 48:18 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 49:26 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 53:32 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 51:32 | 19 | 48 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 34 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:34 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:42 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38:41 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 20 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 28:49 | -21 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19:37 | -18 | 16 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
