Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shandong Taishan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou).

Super League - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.12	2.51
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
27	8
Shots on target
8	5
Big Chances
6	4
Corner Kicks
8	0
Passes
86% (394/457)	73% (158/216)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.12	2.51
xG on target (xGOT)
2.32	2.56
Total shots
27	8
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
11	2
Blocked Shots
8	1
Shots inside the Box
20	7
Shots outside the Box
7	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
6	4
Corner Kicks
8	0
Touches in opposition box
46	14
Accurate through passes
3	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
16	6
Passes
86% (394/457)	73% (158/216)
Long passes
56% (14/25)	39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
79% (129/164)	67% (52/78)
Crosses
41% (13/32)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.89	0.96
Throw-ins
16	10
Fouls
6	16
Tackles
67% (6/9)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
51	29
Clearances
8	36
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
2.56	2.32
Goals prevented
0.56	0.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Zeca ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Zeca ⚽, Li Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Huang Zhengyu ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
46', Liu Yang ↓, Wu Xinghan ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Felippe Cardoso ⚽, Liu Yixin (A),
64', Qazaishvili V. ↓, Xie Wenneng ↑,
71', Zeca ↓, Chen Pu ↑,
71', He Chao ↓, Li Xingxian ↑,
72', Wu Xinghan 🟨,
75', Gazal 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Felippe Cardoso (Pen),
88', Lu Yongtao 🟨,
90+3', Guilherme Madruga ↓, Peng Xinli ↑,
90+4', Acheampong F. ↓, Niu Ziyi ↑,
90+4', Huang Ruifeng ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
90+5', Chen Pu 🟨,
90+6', Peng Xinli 🟥,

Chances of winning

Henan Songshan Longmen
35.5%

Draw
24.6%

Shandong Taishan
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

23.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

23.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Henan Songshan Longmen - Shandong Taishan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.48)	3.81 ↓ (3.9)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)	7% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Henan Songshan Longmen - Shandong Taishan?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shandong Taishan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Shandong Taishan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There are questionable in Henan Jianye: Liu Bin (Inactive)
There are questionable in Shandong Taishan: Chen Zeshi (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:40. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Henan Songshan Longmen won against Shandong Taishan?

Henan Songshan Longmen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shandong Taishan won against Henan Songshan Longmen?

Shandong Taishan has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Henan Songshan Longmen - Shandong Taishan were as follows:

23.02.2025 Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen 0:0

21.08.2024 Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen 3:1

28.07.2024 Henan Songshan Longmen - Shandong Taishan 1:0

09.04.2024 Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen 2:2

04.11.2023 Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen 5:1

Latest results of Henan Songshan Longmen

26.06.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen 2:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Zhejiang Professional 3:2 ✺

18.06.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Port 1:3 ✺

14.06.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Chengdu Rongcheng 3:2 ✺

21.05.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Shandong Taishan

25.06.2025 Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns 3:1 ✺

20.06.2025 Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng 1:3 ✺

14.06.2025 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan 1:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Shandong Taishan 0:5 ✺

17.05.2025 Shanghai Port - Shandong Taishan 1:1 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Shenhua	17	13	2	2	39:17	22	41
2	Beijing Guoan	17	11	5	1	38:18	20	38
3	Shanghai Port	17	11	4	2	39:21	18	37
4	Chengdu Rongcheng	17	10	4	3	33:15	18	34
5	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	17	8	4	5	25:25	0	28
6	Shandong Taishan	17	7	4	6	33:29	4	25
7	Zhejiang Professional	17	6	5	6	32:26	6	23
8	Dalian Yingbo	17	6	5	6	17:24	-7	23
9	Qingdao West Coast	17	5	7	5	22:25	-3	22
10	Yunnan Yukun	17	6	4	7	23:27	-4	22
11	Wuhan Three Towns	17	5	5	7	23:31	-8	20
12	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	17	5	2	10	21:35	-14	17
13	Henan Songshan Longmen	17	4	4	9	25:30	-5	16
14	Meizhou Hakka	17	3	4	10	22:36	-14	13
15	Qingdao Hainiu	17	1	5	11	13:29	-16	8
16	Changchun Yatai	17	2	2	13	15:32	-17	8

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Jia League