Henderson Silver Knights vs Bakersfield Condors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 OT
28/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4220
Shooting PCT
4.76% (2/42)5% (1/20)
Goalkeeper Saves
1940
Saves PCT
95% (19/20)95.24% (40/42)
Penalties
45
PIM
1113
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)80% (4/5)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 10:04, 1 - 0, Coghlan D. (G), Cormier L. (A), Brabenec J. (A2)
  • 18:36, 1 - 1, Jones M. (G), Poulin S. (A), Jarventie R. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 04:19, 2 - 1, Coghlan D. (G), Uronen T. (A), Sapovaliv M. (A2)

Chances of winning


Henderson Silver Knights
37.7%
Draw
22.4%
Bakersfield Condors
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 22.7% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 23.4% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Henderson Silver Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henderson Silver Knights than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.64)
    4.06
    (4.05)
    2.33
    (2.16)
    9.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bakersfield will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Henderson Silver Knights will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henderson won 2.
    • Henderson is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bakersfield's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bakersfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Henderson won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 55:79. (average 2.8:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Henderson won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:34. (average 2.7:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors were as follows:
    10.12.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights 2:5
    06.12.2025 Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors 0:4
    05.12.2025 Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors 5:2
    29.11.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights 7:4
    08.11.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights 5:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 643712114217:14499
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 65356816212:17090
    3Charlotte Checkers65309521214:17583
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Springfield Thunderbirds64243829179:21962
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms65199631192:22162
    8Hartford Wolf Pack64204832170:21856


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves632281419195:20174
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals631712727181:18565
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles643081016212:16786
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers661191432179:24754
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 65363620216:16784
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters652013725190:20273
    5Rochester Americans62217925191:19565
    6Utica Comets64214930172:20259
    7Belleville Senators65196931203:23459

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )