Sumit Nagal vs Henri Squire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/03/2026 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
26
1st serve percentage
73%80%
1st serve points won
59% (51/87)53% (41/78)
2nd serve points won
44% (14/32)47% (9/19)
Break Points Saved
12/197/14
1st return points won
47% (37/78)41% (36/87)
2nd return points won
53% (10/19)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
7/147/19
Winners
1836
Unforced errors
4651
Net points won
89% (8/9)100% (6/6)
Service Points Won
54% (64/118)52% (50/97)
Return Points Won
48% (47/97)46% (54/118)
Total Points Won
52% (111/215)48% (104/215)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
56% (9/16)53% (8/15)
Return games won
47% (7/15)44% (7/16)
Total games won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Sumit Nagal
55%
Henri Squire
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumit Nagal's performance.
  • Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henri Squire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumit Nagal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henri Squire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.91)

    2.07
    (1.8)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire?
  • Users Predictions: Sumit Nagal will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nagal is ranked ATP: 278. Squire is ranked ATP: 258.
    • In recent matches, Nagal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Squire's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nagal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nagal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire were as follows:
    09.10.2025 Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire 0:2
    Latest results of Sumit Nagal
    Latest results of Henri Squire
    17.03.2026 Henri Squire - Stefan Palosi Palosi S. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (LL)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    3Kukushkin M.Dalla Valle E. (Q)1 : 2
    4Giustino L.Jacquet K. (7)2 : 1
    5Wawrinka S. (4)Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Purtseladze S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nagal S.Squire H.2 : 1
    8Bondioli F. (Q)Blanchet U. (8)2 : 0
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Barton H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Sakellaridis S.Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)2 : 1
    11Caniato C. A. (WC)Vasami J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paul J. (Q)Muller A. (3)0 : 2
    13Pellegrino A. (6)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    14Blancaneaux G.Sachko V.0 : 2
    15Cina F.Piraino G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Forti F. (Q)Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Guerrieri A.2 : 1
    2Dalla Valle E.Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Martineau M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    4Nagal S.Bondioli F.1 : 2
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    6Caniato C. A.Muller A. (3)1 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (6)Sachko V.1 : 2
    8Cina F.Forti F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Dalla Valle E.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F.0 : 2
    3Medjedovic H. (5)Muller A. (3)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Cina F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Medjedovic H. (5)Sachko V.2 : 0

    Final
    1Altmaier D. (1)Medjedovic H. (5)0 : 2