Henrique Rocha vs Gael Monfils – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Estoril Henrique Rocha - Gael Monfils
Result
0:2
03/04/2024 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Estoril (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Bernardes C. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 3
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
45%55%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (22/34)75% (27/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (23/41)59% (17/29)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
25% (9/36)35% (12/34)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (12/29)44% (18/41)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)50% (4/8)
Max Points In Row
67
Service Points Won
60% (45/75)68% (44/65)
Return Points Won
32% (21/65)40% (30/75)
Total Points Won
47% (66/140)53% (74/140)
Max Games In Row
34
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
42% (10/24)58% (14/24)

Chances of winning


Henrique Rocha
26.6%
Gael Monfils
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henrique Rocha's form might have worsened.
  • Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Henrique Rocha - Gael Monfils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.57
    (2.41)

    1.3
    (1.48)
    4.9%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Henrique Rocha - Gael Monfils?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Monfils will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 34.6%73%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rocha is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Monfils is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Monfils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Monfils is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Henrique Rocha
    Latest results of Gael Monfils
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Bye
    2Coria F.Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    3Fucsovics M.Cachin P.2 : 0
    4Rocha H. (WC)Monfils G. (7)0 : 2
    5Gasquet R. (LL)Bye
    6Marterer M.Thiem D.1 : 2
    7Altmaier D.Martinez P.0 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Kecmanovic M. (6)2 : 0
    9Fils A. (5)Sousa J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Rodionov J.Garin C.0 : 2
    11Pouille L. (Q)Borges N.1 : 2
    12ByeMusetti L. (3)
    13Koepfer D. (8)Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)0 : 2
    14Faria J. (Q)Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)0 : 2
    15Choinski J. (Q)Fonseca J. (WC)2 : 1
    16ByeHurkacz H. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Monfils G. (7)2 : 1
    3Gasquet R. (4)Thiem D.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    5Fils A. (5)Garin C.1 : 2
    6Borges N.Musetti L. (3)2 : 0
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 0
    8Choinski J.Hurkacz H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    2Gasquet R. (4)Martinez P.0 : 2
    3Garin C.Borges N.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Hurkacz H. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Martinez P.1 : 2
    2Garin C.Hurkacz H. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Martinez P.Hurkacz H. (2)0 : 2