Result
2:0
13/10/2025 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 75% | 52% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (36/48) | 52% (14/27) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 64% (16/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 50% (3/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 25% (12/48) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 56% (9/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 14% (1/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (43/64) | 59% (30/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 33% (21/64) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (64/115) | 44% (51/115) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Henrique Rocha
67.7% | Luca Castelnuovo
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castelnuovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castelnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Henrique Rocha - Luca Castelnuovo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.57) |
|
2.94 ↑
(2.37) |
6.6%
(5.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Henrique Rocha - Luca Castelnuovo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Castelnuovo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rocha (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Rocha is ranked ATP: 161. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 407.
- Rocha has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castelnuovo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rocha could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Henrique Rocha won against Luca Castelnuovo?
Henrique Rocha has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castelnuovo won against Henrique Rocha?
Luca Castelnuovo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Henrique Rocha - Luca Castelnuovo were as follows:
Latest results of Henrique Rocha
Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Castelnuovo L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mo Y. C. (Q) | Sultanov K. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kotov P. | Zhang T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cui J. (WC) | McCabe J. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kubler J. (4) | Sun F. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Chung H. | Te R. (RET.) (WC) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Zhou Y. | Wang X. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Wang A. (Q) | Shimizu Y. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Noguchi R. (8) | Uchida K. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Samrej K. | Jung J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jasika O. | Uchiyama Y. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Dev S D P. (Q) | Jacquet K. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Shimabukuro S. (6) | Bar Biryukov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Fomin S. (Q) | Weber A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Honda N. (JR) | Ferreira Silva F. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Harris L. | Mayot H. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Mo Y. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Kotov P. | Cui J. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sun F. | Chung H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Zhou Y. (WO.) | Wang A. | |
| 5 | Uchida K. | Jung J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Jasika O. | Jacquet K. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. (6) | Fomin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Ferreira Silva F. | Mayot H. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Mo Y. C. | Cui J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Sun F. | Zhou Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Uchida K. | Jacquet K. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shimabukuro S. (6) | Mayot H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cui J. | Zhou Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Jacquet K. (3) | Shimabukuro S. (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final
