Henrique Rocha vs Rio Noguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
50
1st Serve Percentage
70%61%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (44/59)70% (38/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)50% (17/34)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
30% (16/54)25% (15/59)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (17/34)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
68% (57/84)63% (55/88)
Return Points Won
38% (33/88)32% (27/84)
Total Points Won
52% (90/172)48% (82/172)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Henrique Rocha
60.9%
Rio Noguchi
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Henrique Rocha - Rio Noguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.48)

    2.39
    (2.47)
    7%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Rocha is ranked ATP: 167. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 246.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rocha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rocha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Henrique Rocha
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Isomura K. (WC)2 : 1
    2Bouzige M. (RET.)Tokuda R.0 : 0
    3Sekulic P.Chung H.2 : 0
    4Takahashi Y.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Barton H.2 : 1
    6Huesler M.Katayama S. (WC)2 : 0
    7Basing M. (Q)Matsuda R. (Q)2 : 1
    8Kusuhara Y. (WC)Ferreira Silva F. (8)1 : 2
    9Kuzmanov D. (6)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    10Matsuda K. (Q)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    11Shin S.Nakagawa S. (Q)1 : 2
    12Kumasaka T. (Q)Peniston R. (4)0 : 2
    13Shimabukuro S. (5)Mochizuki Y. (Q)2 : 0
    14Jones M.Johns G.1 : 2
    15Bigun K. (JR)Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    16Shiraishi H.Grenier H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Tokuda R.2 : 0
    2Sekulic P.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    3Crawford O. (3)Huesler M.2 : 0
    4Basing M.Ferreira Silva F. (8)0 : 2
    5Ajdukovic D.Matsuda K.2 : 1
    6Nakagawa S.Peniston R. (4)1 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S. (5)Johns G.2 : 0
    8Uchiyama Y.Grenier H. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Noguchi R. (7)2 : 1
    2Crawford O. (3)Ferreira Silva F. (8)1 : 2
    3Ajdukovic D.Peniston R. (4)1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S. (5)Grenier H. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Ferreira Silva F. (8)2 : 0
    2Peniston R. (4)Shimabukuro S. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H. (1)Shimabukuro S. (5)2 : 1