Heracles Almelo vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Asito Stadium (Almelo).

Eredivisie - Round 34
Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	1.74
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
20	12
Shots on target
7	7
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
9	5
Passes
83% (321/385)	77% (285/372)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	1.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.23	1.46
Total shots
20	12
Shots on target
7	7
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
9	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
9	5
Touches in opposition box
37	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
9	9
Passes
83% (321/385)	77% (285/372)
Long passes
58% (33/57)	29% (14/49)
Passes in final third
74% (80/108)	56% (55/99)
Crosses
25% (7/28)	0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.04	0.93
Throw-ins
18	23
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
75% (9/12)	47% (8/17)
Duels won
45	47
Clearances
32	33
Interceptions
12	5
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	6
xGOT faced
1.46	1.23
Goals prevented
-0.54	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 0, Scheperman S. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Hansen S. ⚽, van Crooij V. (A),
61', Hansen S. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
61', Ouwejan T. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
62', Talvitie J. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Onal B. ⚽, van Crooij V. (A),
67', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
71', Bruns T. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
78', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
81', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
81', Pereira B. ↓, Lyratzis L. ↑,
89', Ouaissa S. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Heracles Almelo
40.3%

Draw
27%

NEC Nijmegen
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 (2.4)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	2.9 ↑ (2.6)	4.4% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 28.1% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Heracles (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 3.
Heracles has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Nijmegen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Heracles: Bruijn J. (Inactive) Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Hoogma J. (Inactive) Laursen N. (Knee Injury) Limbombe B. (Inactive)
There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Ogawa K. (Injury) Proper D. (Head Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against NEC Nijmegen?

Heracles Almelo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Heracles Almelo?

NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:

18.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen 1:0

21.09.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo 1:2

03.02.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo 3:1

18.08.2023 Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen 2:1

Latest results of Heracles Almelo

14.05.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo 4:1 ✺

09.05.2025 Willem II - Heracles Almelo 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Heracles Almelo - Feyenoord 1:4 ✺

23.04.2025 Groningen - Heracles Almelo 4:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 1:0 ✺

Latest results of NEC Nijmegen

14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 0:3 ✺

03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0 ✺

11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie