Result
1:2
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eredivisie - Round 34
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (321/385) | 77% (285/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (321/385) | 77% (285/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 29% (14/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (80/108) | 56% (55/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 0, Scheperman S. ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 1, Hansen S. ⚽, van Crooij V. (A),
- 61', Hansen S. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
- 61', Ouwejan T. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 62', Talvitie J. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Onal B. ⚽, van Crooij V. (A),
- 67', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 71', Bruns T. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
- 78', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
- 81', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 81', Pereira B. ↓, Lyratzis L. ↑,
- 89', Ouaissa S. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
40.3% | Draw
27% | NEC Nijmegen
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4
(2.4) |
3.55 ↓
(3.6) |
2.9 ↑
(2.6) |
4.4%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Heracles (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 3.
- Heracles has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nijmegen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Heracles: Bruijn J.
(Inactive)
Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Hoogma J.
(Inactive)
Laursen N.
(Knee Injury)
Limbombe B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Ogawa K.
(Injury)
Proper D.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against NEC Nijmegen?
Heracles Almelo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Heracles Almelo?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
18.12.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
21.09.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heracles Almelo
1:2
03.02.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heracles Almelo
3:1
18.08.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Which TV channels are streaming of Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
