Volendam vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
25/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.04
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (405/471)76% (276/361)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.04
xG on target (xGOT)
2.690.05
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
136
Passes
86% (405/471)76% (276/361)
Long passes
49% (20/41)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
80% (97/122)56% (65/116)
Crosses
30% (6/20)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.891.25
Throw-ins
1021
Fouls
613
Tackles
40% (6/15)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
2217
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.052.69
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', 1 - 0, Bukala N. , Amevor M. (A),
  • 45+2', Engels M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kokcu O. , Oehlers A. ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Leliendal Y. , Verschuren N. (A),
  • 58', Engels M. 🟨,
  • 65', Limbombe B. , Ould Chikh W. ,
  • 66', 3 - 0, Oehlers A. , Bukala N. (A),
  • 75', Payne D. , Ugwu P. ,
  • 75', van Cruijsen R. , Descotte A. ,
  • 76', Leliendal Y. , Meijers A. ,
  • 87', Kuwas B. , Dyer K. ,
  • 88', Mesik I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Volendam
43.2%
Draw
25.2%
Heracles Almelo
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 25.3% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 24.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Volendam - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.34)
    3.77
    (3.73)
    3.01
    (2.74)
    4.7%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Volendam - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Heracles will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 58.6%97%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Volendam will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Volendam is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Heracles: Benita M. (Injury) Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury) Scheperman S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heracles: van Gilst T. (Health problems)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Volendam won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Volendam - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    20.01.2024 Heracles Almelo - Volendam 1:1
    23.09.2023 Volendam - Heracles Almelo 2:2
    05.08.2023 Heracles Almelo - Volendam 1:3
    Latest results of Volendam
    18.10.2025 Utrecht - Volendam 3:1
    04.10.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Volendam 1:0
    27.09.2025 Volendam - Zwolle 2:1
    20.09.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:2
    13.09.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Volendam 3:0
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV28222478:374168
    2Feyenoord28165761:402153
    3Nijmegen28148669:472250
    4Ajax281212453:351848
    5Twente281211547:301747
    6AZ Alkmaar281261047:45242
    7Utrecht28118942:311141
    8Heerenveen28118949:46341
    9Sparta Rotterdam281251135:47-1241
    10Groningen281151240:37338
    11Sittard281051343:52-935
    12Zwolle28891138:53-1533
    13G.A. Eagles287111045:45032
    14Telstar28691338:46-827
    15FC Volendam28761530:48-1827
    16Excelsior28761529:47-1827
    17NAC Breda28581529:50-2123
    18Heracles28541933:70-3719

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie