Result
0:3
05/02/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Hygor ⚽,
- 27', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
- 28', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
- 45+2', Kadu Barone 🟨,
- 45+4', Gaspar 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Gaspar ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
- 46', Gabriel Silva ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 54', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
- 55', Geninho 🟨,
- 60', Alison 🟥,
- 67', Geninho ↓, Luizao ↑,
- 67', Richard ↓, Alex Henrique ↑,
- 71', Hygor ↓, Quaresma ↑,
- 72', Andrey ↓, Cleber ↑,
- 73', Matheus Neris ↓, Filipe Fraga ↑,
- 74', Jamerson 🟨,
- 79', Jamerson ↓, Tedesco N. ↑,
- 82', Vagner Love ↓, Rigley ↑,
- 83', Yuri Sousa ↓, Dudu Silva ↑,
- 83', 0 - 2, Rigley ⚽,
- 86', Rigley 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 3, Jonathan Costa ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hercílio Luz
25.4% | Draw
31.1% | Avaí
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Hercílio Luz - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(3) |
2.93 ↓
(3.1) |
2.1 ↓
(2.27) |
9.7%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 3.
- Hercílio Luz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Avaí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Hercílio Luz have a series of guest games.
- Avaí will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hercílio Luz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hercílio Luz won against Avaí?
Hercílio Luz has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Hercílio Luz?
Avaí has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hercílio Luz - Avaí were as follows:
25.01.2024
Hercílio Luz
-
Avaí
2:1
01.10.2023
Hercílio Luz
-
Avaí
3:1
25.01.2023
Hercílio Luz
-
Avaí
1:0
Latest results of Hercílio Luz
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Brusque (4) | Chapecoense-SC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Criciuma (1) | Joinville (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina (2) | Marcilio Dias (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Avai (3) | Figueirense (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Joinville (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina (2) | Avai (3) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Avai (3) | 1 : 1, 2 : 2 |
