Hercílio Luz vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Hercílio Luz - Avaí
Result
0:3
05/02/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBrasileirao Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1410
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
125
Corner Kicks
85
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Hygor ,
  • 27', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
  • 28', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
  • 45+2', Kadu Barone 🟨,
  • 45+4', Gaspar 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Gaspar , Marcos Vinicius ,
  • 46', Gabriel Silva , Vitinho ,
  • 54', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
  • 55', Geninho 🟨,
  • 60', Alison 🟥,
  • 67', Geninho , Luizao ,
  • 67', Richard , Alex Henrique ,
  • 71', Hygor , Quaresma ,
  • 72', Andrey , Cleber ,
  • 73', Matheus Neris , Filipe Fraga ,
  • 74', Jamerson 🟨,
  • 79', Jamerson , Tedesco N. ,
  • 82', Vagner Love , Rigley ,
  • 83', Yuri Sousa , Dudu Silva ,
  • 83', 0 - 2, Rigley ,
  • 86', Rigley 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 3, Jonathan Costa ,

Chances of winning


Hercílio Luz
25.4%
Draw
31.1%
Avaí
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 29.4% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 28.8% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Hercílio Luz - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (3)
    2.93
    (3.1)
    2.1
    (2.27)
    9.7%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 3.
    • Hercílio Luz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Avaí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Hercílio Luz have a series of guest games.
    • Avaí will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hercílio Luz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hercílio Luz - Avaí were as follows:
    25.01.2024 Hercílio Luz - Avaí 2:1
    01.10.2023 Hercílio Luz - Avaí 3:1
    25.01.2023 Hercílio Luz - Avaí 1:0
    Latest results of Hercílio Luz
    Latest results of Avaí
    01.02.2025 Avaí - Joinville 3:0
    29.01.2025 Chapecoense - Avaí 0:0
    25.01.2025 Avaí - Figueirense 0:1
    22.01.2025 Caravaggio - Avaí 0:0
    18.01.2025 Brusque - Avaí 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2