Avenida vs Hercílio Luz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Avenida - Hercílio Luz
Result
0:0
14/07/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+4', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Avenida
41.2%
Draw
30.7%
Hercílio Luz
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 27.9% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 30.2% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avenida's form might have worsened.
  • Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hercílio Luz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avenida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hercílio Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Avenida - Hercílio Luz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.82)
    2.95
    (3.25)
    3.23
    (4.09)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Avenida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Avenida will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avenida - Hercílio Luz were as follows:
    19.06.2024 Hercílio Luz - Avenida 2:1
    Latest results of Avenida
    06.07.2024 Novo Hamburgo - Avenida 1:1
    03.07.2024 Avenida - Cianorte 1:0
    29.06.2024 Cianorte - Avenida 3:1
    26.06.2024 Avenida - Novo Hamburgo 2:1
    Latest results of Hercílio Luz
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1