Hercílio Luz vs Chapecoense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Hercílio Luz - Chapecoense
Result
2:2
16/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBrasileirao Play
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
810
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
67
Corner Kicks
67
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Yellow Cards
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Gabriel Silva ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Dentinho ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Matheus Neris , Emanuel Jesus ,
  • 46', Clar W. , Mancha ,
  • 46', Jorge Jimenez , Pedro Martins ,
  • 56', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
  • 59', Marcinho , Italo ,
  • 59', Yuri Sousa , Luizao ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Mario Sergio ,
  • 68', Giovanni Augusto , Rafael Carvalheira ,
  • 68', Kadu Barone , Richard ,
  • 68', Gabriel Silva , Vitinho ,
  • 71', Mario Sergio 🟨,
  • 73', Mateus Mendes , Leo Herrero ,
  • 77', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Lucas Lopes ,
  • 82', Mario Sergio , Rodrigo ,
  • 84', Dentinho 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pedro Martins 🟨,
  • 90+2', Mailton 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hercílio Luz
29.3%
Draw
31.4%
Chapecoense
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 31.3% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 30.7% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Hercílio Luz - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3.32)
    2.92
    (2.89)
    2.33
    (2.19)
    9.1%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Hercílio Luz - Chapecoense?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 2.
    • Hercílio Luz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Chapecoense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Chapecoense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Chapecoense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hercílio Luz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hercílio Luz - Chapecoense were as follows:
    16.09.2024 Chapecoense - Hercílio Luz 0:0
    20.01.2024 Chapecoense - Hercílio Luz 1:0
    08.10.2023 Chapecoense - Hercílio Luz 2:0
    18.01.2023 Hercílio Luz - Chapecoense 0:0
    Latest results of Hercílio Luz
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2