Hercílio Luz vs Criciúma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Hercílio Luz - Criciúma
Result
0:1
19/02/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBrasileirao Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
611
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
35
Corner Kicks
68
Goalkeeper Saves
53
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Geninho 🟥,
  • 12', Joao Carlos 🟨,
  • 26', Matheus Neris , Bruno Gabriel ,
  • 41', Paulo Vitor , Everton Morelli ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Joao Carlos , Gabriel Barros ,
  • 49', Everton Morelli 🟨,
  • 53', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Everton Morelli ,
  • 60', Juninho , Jhonata Robert ,
  • 62', Gabriel Silva , Emanuel Jesus ,
  • 62', Richard , Yuri Sousa ,
  • 70', Alex Henrique , Dudu Silva ,
  • 70', Mateus Mendes , Leo Herrero ,
  • 79', Yuri Sousa 🟨,
  • 81', Neto Pessoa , Eduardo Melo ,
  • 81', Jonathan , Leo Alaba ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Hercílio Luz
22.8%
Draw
28.1%
Criciúma
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 29.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 27.3% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hercílio Luz - Criciúma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (3.49)
    3.25
    (3.1)
    1.86
    (2.02)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Hercílio Luz - Criciúma?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hercílio Luz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
    • Criciúma is Qualified for Catarinense (Play Offs )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 1.
    • Hercílio Luz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Criciúma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Hercílio Luz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Criciúma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:14 (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hercílio Luz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hercílio Luz - Criciúma were as follows:
    17.03.2024 Criciúma - Hercílio Luz 2:1
    09.03.2024 Hercílio Luz - Criciúma 1:1
    28.01.2024 Criciúma - Hercílio Luz 2:0
    29.03.2023 Hercílio Luz - Criciúma 2:1
    25.03.2023 Criciúma - Hercílio Luz 2:0
    Latest results of Hercílio Luz
    13.02.2025 Hercílio Luz - Joinville 2:1
    09.02.2025 Concórdia - Hercílio Luz 1:0
    05.02.2025 Hercílio Luz - Avaí 0:3
    02.02.2025 Caravaggio - Hercílio Luz 1:0
    Latest results of Criciúma
    12.02.2025 Criciúma - Caravaggio 1:2
    08.02.2025 Brusque - Criciúma 1:1
    05.02.2025 Criciúma - Santa Catarina 1:1
    01.02.2025 Chapecoense - Criciúma 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2