Result
0:1
19/02/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Geninho 🟥,
- 12', Joao Carlos 🟨,
- 26', Matheus Neris ↓, Bruno Gabriel ↑,
- 41', Paulo Vitor ↓, Everton Morelli ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Joao Carlos ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
- 49', Everton Morelli 🟨,
- 53', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Everton Morelli ⚽,
- 60', Juninho ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
- 62', Gabriel Silva ↓, Emanuel Jesus ↑,
- 62', Richard ↓, Yuri Sousa ↑,
- 70', Alex Henrique ↓, Dudu Silva ↑,
- 70', Mateus Mendes ↓, Leo Herrero ↑,
- 79', Yuri Sousa 🟨,
- 81', Neto Pessoa ↓, Eduardo Melo ↑,
- 81', Jonathan ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
Chances of winning
Hercílio Luz
22.8% | Draw
28.1% | Criciúma
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hercílio Luz - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.49) |
3.25 ↑
(3.1) |
1.86 ↓
(2.02) |
9.5%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Hercílio Luz - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hercílio Luz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
- Criciúma is Qualified for Catarinense (Play Offs )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 1.
- Hercílio Luz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Criciúma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Hercílio Luz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Criciúma will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:14 (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hercílio Luz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hercílio Luz won against Criciúma?
Hercílio Luz has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Hercílio Luz?
Criciúma has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hercílio Luz - Criciúma were as follows:
17.03.2024
Criciúma
-
Hercílio Luz
2:1
09.03.2024
Hercílio Luz
-
Criciúma
1:1
28.01.2024
Criciúma
-
Hercílio Luz
2:0
29.03.2023
Hercílio Luz
-
Criciúma
2:1
25.03.2023
Criciúma
-
Hercílio Luz
2:0
Latest results of Hercílio Luz
Latest results of Criciúma
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Brusque (4) | Chapecoense-SC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Criciuma (1) | Joinville (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina (2) | Marcilio Dias (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Avai (3) | Figueirense (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Joinville (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina (2) | Avai (3) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Avai (3) | 1 : 1, 2 : 2 |
